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Determinants of Fertility in Urban and Rural Kenya: Estimates and a Simulation of the Impact of Education Policy

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  • D E Hyatt

    (Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wl 53201, USA)

  • W J Milne

    (Department of Economics, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, New Brunswick E3B 5A3, Canada)

Abstract

The continuing high fertility rate in Kenya is of considerable concern as the resulting high rate of population growth makes improvements in living standards difficult, if not impossible. In this paper, the determinants of fertility in urban and rural areas of Kenya are examined through estimation of a probit model which includes variables in three categories: economic, biological, and social or cultural. Also simulated is the effect of increasing the levels of female education on the total fertility rate and the total number of births. Results show that improvements in female education can result in a substantial decrease in the number of births in Kenya, thereby suggesting that formulation of government policy in this area is desirable.

Suggested Citation

  • D E Hyatt & W J Milne, 1993. "Determinants of Fertility in Urban and Rural Kenya: Estimates and a Simulation of the Impact of Education Policy," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 25(3), pages 371-382, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:25:y:1993:i:3:p:371-382
    DOI: 10.1068/a250371
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gary S. Becker, 1960. "An Economic Analysis of Fertility," NBER Chapters, in: Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries, pages 209-240, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Anker, Richard, 1978. "An Analysis of Fertility Differentials in Developing Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 60(1), pages 58-69, February.
    3. Easterlin, Richard A. & Crimmins, Eileen M., 1985. "The Fertility Revolution," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226180298, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dieudonne Ndaruhuye Muhoza, 2019. "The heterogeneous effects of socioeconomic and cultural factors on fertility preferences: evidence from Rwanda and Kenya," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 36(4), pages 347-363, December.
    2. Handa, Sudhanshu, 2000. "The Impact of Education, Income, and Mortality on Fertility in Jamaica," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 173-186, January.

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