IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/engenv/v24y2013i3-4p509-536.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sea Level Changes past Records and Future Expectations

Author

Listed:
  • Nils-Axel Mörner

    (Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Rösundavägen 17, 13336 Saltsjöbaden, Sweden)

Abstract

The history and development of our understanding of sea level changes is reviewed. Sea level research is multi-fascetted and calls for integrated studies of a large number of parameters. Well established records indicate a post-LIA (1850–1950) sea level rise of 11 cm. During the same period of time, the Earth's rate of rotation experienced a slowing down (deceleration) equivalent to a sea level rise of about 10 cm. Sea level changes during the last 40–50 years are subjected to major controversies. The methodology applied and the views claimed by the IPCC are challenged. For the last 40–50 years strong observational facts indicate virtually stable sea level conditions. The Earth's rate of rotation records a mean acceleration from 1972 to 2012, contradicting all claims of a rapid global sea level rise, and instead suggests stable, to slightly falling, sea levels. Best estimates for future sea level changes up to the year 2100 are in the range of +5 cm ±15 cm.

Suggested Citation

  • Nils-Axel Mörner, 2013. "Sea Level Changes past Records and Future Expectations," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(3-4), pages 509-536, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:24:y:2013:i:3-4:p:509-536
    DOI: 10.1260/0958-305X.24.3-4.509
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1260/0958-305X.24.3-4.509
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1260/0958-305X.24.3-4.509?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Asbury H. Sallenger & Kara S. Doran & Peter A. Howd, 2012. "Hotspot of accelerated sea-level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(12), pages 884-888, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:ags:aaea22:335970 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kristin C. Burkholder & Jessica Devereaux & Caroline Grady & Molly Solitro & Susan M. Mooney, 2017. "Longitudinal Study of the Impacts of a Climate Change Curriculum on Undergraduate Student Learning: Initial Results," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-28, May.
    3. Zhuo Zhang & Changsheng Chen & Zhiyao Song & Dong Zhang & Di Hu & Fei Guo, 2020. "A FVCOM study of the potential coastal flooding in apponagansett bay and clarks cove, Dartmouth Town (MA)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2787-2809, September.
    4. Albert Parker, 2013. "Oscillations of sea level rise along the Atlantic coast of North America north of Cape Hatteras," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(1), pages 991-997, January.
    5. James Neumann & Kerry Emanuel & Sai Ravela & Lindsay Ludwig & Paul Kirshen & Kirk Bosma & Jeremy Martinich, 2015. "Joint effects of storm surge and sea-level rise on US Coasts: new economic estimates of impacts, adaptation, and benefits of mitigation policy," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 129(1), pages 337-349, March.
    6. Parker Albert, 2016. "Coldspot of Decelerated Sea-Level Rise on the Pacific Coast of North America," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 35(3), pages 31-37, September.
    7. Mary Bryan Barksdale & Christopher J. Hein & Matthew L. Kirwan, 2023. "Shoreface erosion counters blue carbon accumulation in transgressive barrier-island systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-6, December.
    8. Hanane Rhomad & Karima Khalil & Khalid Elkalay, 2023. "Water Quality Modeling in Atlantic Region: Review, Science Mapping and Future Research Directions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 451-499, January.
    9. Kai Parker & Li Erikson & Jennifer Thomas & Kees Nederhoff & Patrick Barnard & Sanne Muis, 2023. "Relative contributions of water-level components to extreme water levels along the US Southeast Atlantic Coast from a regional-scale water-level hindcast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2219-2248, July.
    10. Bing Wang & Su-Yan Pan & Ruo-Yu Ke & Ke Wang & Yi-Ming Wei, 2014. "An overview of climate change vulnerability: a bibliometric analysis based on Web of Science database," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 1649-1666, December.
    11. Parker Albert & Ollier Clifford, 2019. "Atlantic meridional overturning circulation stable over the last 150 years," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 38(3), pages 31-40, September.
    12. E. Watson & A. Oczkowski & C. Wigand & A. Hanson & E. Davey & S. Crosby & R. Johnson & H. Andrews, 2014. "Nutrient enrichment and precipitation changes do not enhance resiliency of salt marshes to sea level rise in the Northeastern U.S," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 125(3), pages 501-509, August.
    13. Denis L. Volkov & Kate Zhang & William E. Johns & Joshua K. Willis & Will Hobbs & Marlos Goes & Hong Zhang & Dimitris Menemenlis, 2023. "Atlantic meridional overturning circulation increases flood risk along the United States southeast coast," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Jamie AR Haverkamp, 2017. "Politics, values, and reflexivity: The case of adaptation to climate change in Hampton Roads, Virginia," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 49(11), pages 2673-2692, November.
    15. Ming Li & Fan Zhang & Samuel Barnes & Xiaohong Wang, 2020. "Assessing storm surge impacts on coastal inundation due to climate change: case studies of Baltimore and Dorchester County in Maryland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2561-2588, September.
    16. Lindy Williams & David Kay, 2024. "Might I have to move due to climate change? The role of exposure to risk and political partisanship in anticipation of future relocation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(9), pages 1-25, September.
    17. Leah H Beckett & Andrew H Baldwin & Michael S Kearney, 2016. "Tidal Marshes across a Chesapeake Bay Subestuary Are Not Keeping up with Sea-Level Rise," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-12, July.
    18. Albert Parker, 2013. "Sea level trends at locations of the United States with more than 100 years of recording," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 65(1), pages 1011-1021, January.
    19. Lindsey S. Smart & Jelena Vukomanovic & Paul J. Taillie & Kunwar K. Singh & Jordan W. Smith, 2021. "Quantifying Drivers of Coastal Forest Carbon Decline Highlights Opportunities for Targeted Human Interventions," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-22, July.
    20. Robert Kopp & Benjamin Horton & Andrew Kemp & Claudia Tebaldi, 2015. "Past and future sea-level rise along the coast of North Carolina, USA," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 132(4), pages 693-707, October.
    21. Leonard O. Ohenhen & Manoochehr Shirzaei & Chandrakanta Ojha & Matthew L. Kirwan, 2023. "Hidden vulnerability of US Atlantic coast to sea-level rise due to vertical land motion," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:24:y:2013:i:3-4:p:509-536. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.