IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/enejou/v45y2024i2p1-21.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Carbon-free Electricity Supply in a Cournot Wholesale Market: Israel

Author

Listed:
  • Irena Milstein
  • Asher Tishler
  • Chi-Keung Woo

Abstract

We develop a two-stage model to analyze a Cournot wholesale electricity market in which competing firms use photovoltaics augmented with batteries (PVB) or combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) to meet time-varying demands. Capturing the complex interactions of output and investment decisions made by multiple profit-maximizing PVB and CCGT firms, our model yields the market’s long-run equilibrium of capacity mix and short-run equilibrium of electricity generation and price levels. Accounting for the sun’s irradiation that determines solar generation level, our model computes the battery cost reduction necessary for batteries entering the optimal capacity mix. Using Israel as a case study, we show how declining battery cost may cause PVB firms to displace CCGT firms, resulting in carbon-free electricity supply as a market-based outcome. The battery cost threshold initiating this outcome is ~24% of CCGT’s capacity cost, implying that natural gas is a transitional fuel in Israel’s pathway to deep decarbonization.

Suggested Citation

  • Irena Milstein & Asher Tishler & Chi-Keung Woo, 2024. "Carbon-free Electricity Supply in a Cournot Wholesale Market: Israel," The Energy Journal, , vol. 45(2), pages 1-21, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:45:y:2024:i:2:p:1-21
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.45.2.imil
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.5547/01956574.45.2.imil
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5547/01956574.45.2.imil?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joachim Geske and Richard Green, 2020. "Optimal Storage, Investment and Management under Uncertainty: It is Costly to Avoid Outages!," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-28.
    2. David M Newbery, 2018. "What future(s) for liberalized electricity markets: efficient, equitable or innovative?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    3. Khan, Agha Salman M. & Verzijlbergh, Remco A. & Sakinci, Ozgur Can & De Vries, Laurens J., 2018. "How do demand response and electrical energy storage affect (the need for) a capacity market?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 39-62.
    4. Paul J. Burke and Ashani Abayasekara, 2018. "The Price Elasticity of Electricity Demand in the United States: A Three-Dimensional Analysis," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    5. Sani Hassan, Abubakar & Cipcigan, Liana & Jenkins, Nick, 2017. "Optimal battery storage operation for PV systems with tariff incentives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 422-441.
    6. Woo, C.K. & Chen, Y. & Olson, A. & Moore, J. & Schlag, N. & Ong, A. & Ho, T., 2017. "Electricity price behavior and carbon trading: New evidence from California," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 531-543.
    7. Milstein, Irena & Tishler, Asher, 2015. "Can price volatility enhance market power? The case of renewable technologies in competitive electricity markets," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 70-90.
    8. Traber, Thure, 2017. "Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms for Reliability in the Integrated European Electricity Market: Effects on Welfare and Distribution through 2023," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-14.
    9. Engels, Jonas & Claessens, Bert & Deconinck, Geert, 2019. "Techno-economic analysis and optimal control of battery storage for frequency control services, applied to the German market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1036-1049.
    10. Mousavian, Seyedamirabbas & Conejo, Antonio J. & Sioshansi, Ramteen, 2020. "Equilibria in investment and spot electricity markets: A conjectural-variations approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(1), pages 129-140.
    11. Krishnamurthy, Chandra Kiran B. & Kriström, Bengt, 2015. "A cross-country analysis of residential electricity demand in 11 OECD-countries," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-88.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tourgeman, Miriam & Cohen, Chen & Rubin, Ofir, 2024. "Preserving competition and economic welfare in Israel's PV market," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Milstein, I. & Tishler, A. & Woo, C.K., 2024. "The effect of PV generation's hourly variations on Israel's solar investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Kang Hua Cao & Han Qi & Chi-Keung Woo & Jay Zarnikau & Raymond Li, 2024. "Efficient Frontiers for Short-term Sales of Spot and Forward Wind Energy in Texas," The Energy Journal, , vol. 45(6), pages 37-60, November.
    4. Kang Hua Cao & Han Steffan Qi & Chi-Keung Woo & Jay William Zarnikau & Raymond Li, 2025. "Prudent Electricity Procurement by a Load Serving Entity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-16, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Milstein, Irena & Tishler, Asher & Woo, Chi-Keung, 2022. "Wholesale electricity market economics of solar generation in Israel," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Milstein, I. & Tishler, A. & Woo, C.K., 2024. "The effect of PV generation's hourly variations on Israel's solar investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    3. Milstein, Irena & Tishler, Asher, 2019. "On the effects of capacity payments in competitive electricity markets: Capacity adequacy, price cap, and reliability," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 370-385.
    4. Ali Darudi & Hannes Weigt, 2024. "Review and Assessment of Decarbonized Future Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(18), pages 1-38, September.
    5. Gautam, Tej K. & Paudel, Krishna P., 2018. "Estimating sectoral demands for electricity using the pooled mean group method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 54-67.
    6. Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna, 2020. "Price and income elasticities of residential and industrial electricity demand in the European Union," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Luis Gautier & Mahelet G. Fikru, 2024. "Electric Utility Mergers in the Presence of Distributed Renewable Energy," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Handbook of Merger Control and Environmental Policy, chapter 0, pages 63-92, Springer.
    8. Best, Rohan & Li, Han & Trück, Stefan & Truong, Chi, 2021. "Actual uptake of home batteries: The key roles of capital and policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    9. Antweiler, Werner, 2021. "Microeconomic models of electricity storage: Price Forecasting, arbitrage limits, curtailment insurance, and transmission line utilization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    10. Lanot, Gauthier & Vesterberg, Mattias, 2021. "The price elasticity of electricity demand when marginal incentives are very large," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    11. Liddle, Brantley & Huntington, Hillard, 2021. "How prices, income, and weather shape household electricity demand in high-income and middle-income countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    12. Sirin, Selahattin Murat & Camadan, Ercument & Erten, Ibrahim Etem & Zhang, Alex Hongliang, 2023. "Market failure or politics? Understanding the motives behind regulatory actions to address surging electricity prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    13. Li, Raymond & Woo, Chi-Keung & Cox, Kevin, 2021. "How price-responsive is residential retail electricity demand in the US?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    14. Dorothée Charlier & Sondès Kahouli, 2018. "Fuel poverty and residential energy demand: how fuel-poor households react to energy price fluctuations," Post-Print halshs-01957771, HAL.
    15. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    16. Yang, Yuting, 2022. "Electricity interconnection with intermittent renewables," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    17. Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Qu, Songze & Ancev, Tihomir, 2019. "The effect of wind and solar power generation on wholesale electricity prices in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 358-369.
    18. Bell, William Paul & Zheng, Xuemei, 2018. "Inclusive growth and climate change adaptation and mitigation in Australia and China : Removing barriers to solving wicked problems," MPRA Paper 84509, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Avilés A., Camilo & Oliva H., Sebastian & Watts, David, 2019. "Single-dwelling and community renewable microgrids: Optimal sizing and energy management for new business models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    20. John Curtis & Brian Stanley, 2016. "Analysing Residential Energy Demand: An Error Correction Demand System Approach for Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 47(2), pages 185-211.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:45:y:2024:i:2:p:1-21. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.