International Oil Market Risk Anticipations and the Cushing Bottleneck: Option-implied Evidence
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.5547/01956574.41.6.mgag
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Andrew N. Kleit, 2001. "Are Regional Oil Markets Growing Closer Together?: An Arbitrage Cost Approach," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-15.
- Sepideh Dolatabadi & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Ke Xu, 2015.
"A Fractionally Cointegrated VAR Analysis of Price Discovery in Commodity Futures Markets,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 339-356, April.
- Sepideh Dolatabadi & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Ke Xu, 2014. "A fractionally cointegrated VAR analysis of price discovery in commodity futures markets," CREATES Research Papers 2014-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Sepideh Dolatabadi & Ke Xu & Morten Ø. Nielsen, 2014. "A Fractionally Cointegrated Var Analysis Of Price Discovery In Commodity Futures Markets," Working Paper 1328, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Are Product Spreads Useful For Forecasting Oil Prices? An Empirical Evaluation Of The Verleger Hypothesis," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 562-580, April.
- Breeden, Douglas T & Litzenberger, Robert H, 1978. "Prices of State-contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 621-651, October.
- Christoffersen, Peter, 2011.
"Elements of Financial Risk Management,"
Elsevier Monographs,
Elsevier,
edition 2, number 9780123744487.
- Christoffersen, Peter, 2003. "Elements of Financial Risk Management," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780121742324.
- Gurdip Bakshi & Nikunj Kapadia & Dilip Madan, 2003. "Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(1), pages 101-143.
- Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Li, Huimin & Jeon, Bang, 2003. "Causality and volatility spillovers among petroleum prices of WTI, gasoline and heating oil in different locations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 89-114, March.
- Panigirtzoglou, Nikolaos & Skiadopoulos, George, 2004. "A new approach to modeling the dynamics of implied distributions: Theory and evidence from the S&P 500 options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1499-1520, July.
- Birru, Justin & Figlewski, Stephen, 2012. "Anatomy of a meltdown: The risk neutral density for the S&P 500 in the fall of 2008," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 151-180.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Power, Gabriel J. & Toupin, Dominique, 2016. "International stock market cointegration under the risk-neutral measure," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 243-255.
- Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H., 2018. "Option-implied objective measures of market risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 241-249.
- Chen, Ren-Raw & Hsieh, Pei-lin & Huang, Jeffrey, 2018. "Crash risk and risk neutral densities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 162-189.
- Amine Ouazad, 2022. "Do Investors Hedge Against Green Swans? Option-Implied Risk Aversion to Wildfires," Papers 2208.06930, arXiv.org.
- Sirio Aramonte & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Samuel Rosen & John W. Schindler, 2017. "Firm-Specific Risk-Neutral Distributions : The Role of CDS Spreads," International Finance Discussion Papers 1212, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gagnon, Marie-Hélène & Power, Gabriel J. & Toupin, Dominique, 2023. "The sum of all fears: Forecasting international returns using option-implied risk measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Elyas Elyasiani & Luca Gambarelli & Silvia Muzzioli, 2015. "Towards a skewness index for the Italian stock market," Department of Economics 0064, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- Manuel Ammann & Alexander Feser, 2019. "Robust Estimation of Risk-Neutral Moments," Working Papers on Finance 1902, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Stamatis Leontsinis & Carol Alexander, 2017. "Arithmetic variance swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 551-569, April.
- Nessim Souissi, 2017. "The Implied Risk Neutral Density Dynamics: Evidence from the S&P TSX 60 Index," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-10, June.
- Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura & Vicente, José Valentim Machado, 2017. "Do the central bank actions reduce interest rate volatility?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 129-137.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom, 2017.
"Asset Return Dynamics under Habits and Bad Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(3), pages 713-760.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom, 2015. "Asset Return Dynamics under Habits and Bad-Environment Good-Environment Fundamentals," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021.
"Estimating real‐world probabilities: A forward‐looking behavioral framework,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1797-1823, November.
- Ricardo Cris'ostomo, 2020. "Estimating real-world probabilities: A forward-looking behavioral framework," Papers 2012.09041, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021. "Estimating real word probabilities: a forward-looking behavioral framework," CNMV Working Papers CNMV Working Papers no. 7, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department.
- Lambrinoudakis, Costas & Skiadopoulos, George & Gkionis, Konstantinos, 2019.
"Capital structure and financial flexibility: Expectations of future shocks,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 1-18.
- Costas Lambrinoudakis & Michael Neumann & George Skiadopoulos, 2014. "Capital Structure and Financial Flexibility: Expectations of Future Shocks," Working Papers 731, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jarno Talponen, 2013. "Matching distributions: Asset pricing with density shape correction," Papers 1312.4227, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
- Steven L. Heston & Alberto G. Rossi, 2017. "A Spanning Series Approach to Options," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(1), pages 2-42.
- Hardeep Singh Mundi, 2023. "Risk neutral variances to compute expected returns using data from S&P BSE 100 firms—a replication study," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 73(1), pages 215-230, February.
- Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
- Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & Thomas Wu, 2013. "The Effect of Capital Controls and Prudential FX Measures on Options-Implied Exchange Rate Stability," Working Paper Series 2013-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Sanjay K. Nawalkha & Xiaoyang Zhuo, 2020. "A Theory of Equivalent Expectation Measures for Contingent Claim Returns," Papers 2006.15312, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
More about this item
Keywords
Crude oil; Brent; WTI; Spread; Bottleneck; Cushing; Risk; Anticipations; Option-implied; Risk-neutral distribution; Fractional cointegration; Options;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:41:y:2020:i:6:p:255-280. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.