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Vehicle Choice in an Aging Population: Some Insights from a Stated Preference Survey for California

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  • Chris Kavalec

Abstract

This paper investigates the potential effects that an aging "baby boomer" generation will have on gasoline use through their vehicle choice decisions. The study uses stated preference data for both conventional and alternative fuel vehicles, and measures the impact of age of survey respondent on the perceived value of vehicle characteristics such as fuel economy, performance, and body style (e.g., car vs. truck). The results suggest the possibility that average fleet fuel economy may improve in the next few years, if survey preferences translate to actual purchase behavior. No clear implications can be drawn regarding the demand for alternative fuel vehicles.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Kavalec, 1999. "Vehicle Choice in an Aging Population: Some Insights from a Stated Preference Survey for California," The Energy Journal, , vol. 20(3), pages 123-138, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:20:y:1999:i:3:p:123-138
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol20-No3-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Golob, Thomas F. & Bunch, David S. & Brownstone, David, 1997. "A Vehicle Use Forecasting Model Based on Revealed and Stated Vehicle Type Choice and Utilisation Data," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt2x86k20c, University of California Transportation Center.
    2. Hensher, David A. & Le Plastrier, Vicki, 1985. "Towards a dynamic discrete-choice model of household automobile fleet size and composition," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 481-495, December.
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