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The U.S. Demand for Highway Travel and Motor Fuel

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  • Dermot Gately

Abstract

This paper, based on an econometric analysis of annual data since 1965, examines the prospects for US highway travel and fuel demand, disaggregated by vehicle type (cars and light trucks). Despite projections by the US Department of Energy (DOE/EIA) of virtually no change in highway fuel use in the 1990s, we project a growth rate of about 1.3% annually. DOE/EIA assumes extraordinarily rapid improvement in fuel efficiency and relatively slow growth in large trucks’ vehicle miles. We project slower gains in fuel efficiency, for all types of vehicles, and faster growth for large trucks’ vehicle miles.

Suggested Citation

  • Dermot Gately, 1990. "The U.S. Demand for Highway Travel and Motor Fuel," The Energy Journal, , vol. 11(3), pages 59-74, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:11:y:1990:i:3:p:59-74
    DOI: 10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol11-No3-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ohta, Makoto & Griliches, Zvi, 1986. "Automobile Prices and Quality: Did the Gasoline Price Increases Change Consumer Tastes in the U.S.?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 4(2), pages 187-198, April.
    2. Fred Mannering & Clifford Winston, 1985. "A Dynamic Empirical Analysis of Household Vehicle Ownership and Utilization," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 16(2), pages 215-236, Summer.
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