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Markov Switching International Capital Asset Pricing Model, an Emerging Market Case: Mexico

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  • Humberto Valencia-Herrera
  • Francisco López-Herrera

Abstract

The article shows how the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) with Markov regime switching can model the asset returns in the emerging market of Mexico. For most assets, although significant, the international risk premium factor is not subject to regime switching, but the domestic factor is. The probabilities of regimes are correlated with the volatility of assets. A GARCH(1,1) Markov regime switching model offers better adjustment than a non-GARCH. JEL Classification: C58, F36, F65, G12, G15

Suggested Citation

  • Humberto Valencia-Herrera & Francisco López-Herrera, 2018. "Markov Switching International Capital Asset Pricing Model, an Emerging Market Case: Mexico," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(1), pages 96-129, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:emffin:v:17:y:2018:i:1:p:96-129
    DOI: 10.1177/0972652717748089
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International asset pricing model; Markov regime switching; GARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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