IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rom/terumm/v17y2022i2p5-15.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

System Dynamics Model Linking Demand, Employment Movement Between Sectors And The Economy For The South African Construction Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Kevin Jan DUFFY

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa)

  • Obiora Cornelius COLLINS

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa)

  • Thokozani SIMELANE

    (Institute of Systems Science, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4000, South Africa; Science and Technology, Africa Institute of South Africa, Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa)

Abstract

Several factors can influence the dynamics in demand and supply of skills for all employment sectors. Here the variable drivers for construction sector employment are taken to involve the demand for employment, choice of employment and the state of the economy. A dynamical model based on longitudinal data obtained from the Construction Education and Training Authority (CETA) of South Africa is used to predict the dynamics of future employment trends in the construction sector of South Africa. This paper argues for a system dynamics approach as both a conceptual and methodological tool for predicting employment trends. The relationship between economic growth, demand and employment movement between sectors are shown to impact employment in the construction industry. Knowledge of how these factors impact employment could help policy makers in their efforts to reduce unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin Jan DUFFY & Obiora Cornelius COLLINS & Thokozani SIMELANE, 2022. "System Dynamics Model Linking Demand, Employment Movement Between Sectors And The Economy For The South African Construction Sector," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 17(2), pages 5-15, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:rom:terumm:v:17:y:2022:i:2:p:5-15
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://um.ase.ro/no172/1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kruss, Glenda & McGrath, Simon & Petersen, Il-haam & Gastrow, Michael, 2015. "Higher education and economic development: The importance of building technological capabilities," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 22-31.
    2. Keating, Jack, 2009. "Matching supply of and demand for skills: international perspectives," Australian Bulletin of Labour, National Institute of Labour Studies, vol. 35(3), pages 528-560.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Zhuo, 2023. "The impact of the artificial intelligence industry on the number and structure of employments in the digital economy environment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cain Polidano & Justin van de Ven & Sarah Voitchovsky, 2017. "The Power of Self-Interest: Effects of Education and Training Entitlements in Later-Life," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n12, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    2. Marcus Adam, 2018. "The Role of Human Resource Management (HRM) for the Implementation of Sustainable Product-Service Systems (PSS)—An Analysis of Fashion Retailers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-27, July.
    3. Muhammad Hasan Rehman & Muhammad Shahbaz & Rana Muhammad Amir & Hafiz Ali Raza & Ayesha Kanwel, 2021. "Stakeholders' Perceptions regarding the use of Hologram for Educational Purposes in District Toba Tek Singh, Pakistan," Journal of Social Sciences Advancement, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 2(3), pages 92-96.
    4. Xiangdan Piao & Xinxin Ma & Chi Zhang & Shunsuke Managi, 2020. "Impact of Gaps in the Educational Levels between Married Partners on Health and a Sustainable Lifestyle: Evidence from 32 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, June.
    5. Zavale, Nelson Casimiro & Macamo, Elísio, 2016. "How and what knowledge do universities and academics transfer to industry in African low-income countries? Evidence from the stage of university-industry linkages in Mozambique," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 247-261.
    6. Hao Wang & Pen-Chi Chiang & Yanpeng Cai & Chunhui Li & Xuan Wang & Tse-Lun Chen & Shiming Wei & Qian Huang, 2018. "Application of Wall and Insulation Materials on Green Building: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-21, September.
    7. Jian Yang & Huadong Cheng, 2023. "Coupling Coordination between University Scientific & Technological Innovation and Sustainable Economic Development in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-14, January.
    8. Xiangdan Piao & Xinxin Ma & Shunsuke Managi, 2021. "Impact of the Intra-household Education Gap on Wives’ and Husbands’ Well-Being: Evidence from Cross-Country Microdata," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 111-136, July.
    9. Alexandru Pavel & Octavian Moldovan, 2019. "Determining Local Economic Development in the Rural Areas of Romania. Exploring the Role of Exogenous Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, January.
    10. Dussaux, Damien & Dechezleprêtre, Antoine & Glachant, Matthieu, 2022. "The impact of intellectual property rights protection on low-carbon trade and foreign direct investments," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    11. Yousef Mubrik N. Almutairi, 2020. "Leadership Self-Efficacy and Organizational Commitment of Faculty Members: Higher Education," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-11, September.
    12. Tingting Liu & Xiaoxian Zhu & Mengqiu Cao, 2022. "Impacts of Reduced Inequalities on Quality Education: Examining the Relationship between Regional Sustainability and Higher Education," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-15, October.
    13. Shakeel Sarwar, Jawad Iqbal, 2020. "Framework Development of High Performance Work Systems (HPWSs) and Faculty Productivity: A Qualitative Approach," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 7(1), pages 1-13, March.
    14. Seuk Yen Phoong* & Seuk Wai Phoong & Xiao Jun Tan, 2018. "A Mediation Analysis on Level of Education and Economic Growth," The Journal of Social Sciences Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, pages 417-422:6.
    15. Catherine Gegout, 2024. "Making universal education a priority for sustainable development: The EU, Vietnam and education," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 15(1), pages 91-102, February.
    16. Lin Cai & Yating Xu & Kaiqi Zhang & Caiya Zhang & Zhengzhe Xiang, 2022. "A New Measurement of Global Equity in a Sustainability Perspective: Examining Differences from Space and Time Dimensions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-18, August.
    17. Khan, Asif & Khan, Samina & Turi, Sajid, 2019. "An exploratory study focusing on teaching and learning practices at the tertiary level in Pakistan: A case study of a public sector university," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 106-114.
    18. Tajammal Hussain & Jacob Eskildsen & Rick Edgeman & Muhammad Ismail & Alaa Mohamd Shoukry & Showkat Gani, 2019. "Imperatives of Sustainable University Excellence: A Conceptual Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-21, September.
    19. Vnoučková Lucie & Žák Milan, 2017. "Transparency in Lobbying as Perceived by Organisational Representatives in the Czech Republic," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 17(4), pages 381-397, December.
    20. Kemal Soyer & Hale Ozgit & Husam Rjoub, 2020. "Applying an Evolutionary Growth Theory for Sustainable Economic Development: The Effect of International Students as Tourists," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-20, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rom:terumm:v:17:y:2022:i:2:p:5-15. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Colesca Sofia (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ccasero.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.