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Emigration Decision and the Migration Profile of the Unemployed: A Case Study on Romania

Author

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  • Mirela CRISTEA

    (Department of Finance, Banking and Economic Analysis, Center for Banking and Financial Research, University of Craiova, Craiova, Romania, A.I. Cuza Street, No. 13, 200585, Craiova, Dolj, Romania.)

  • Daniela Emanuela DĂNĂCICĂ

    (Department of Finance and Accounting, “Constantin Brancusi” University of Targu-Jiu, TarguJiu, Romania, Research, PhD student, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Craiova, Craiova, Romania, A.I. Cuza Street, No. 13, 200585, Craiova, Dolj, Romania. Corresponding author.)

  • Graţiela Georgiana NOJA

    (Department of Marketing and International Economic Relations, East European Center for Research in Economics and Business, West University of Timişoara, Timişoara, Romania, V. Parvan Street, No. 4, Timisoara, 300223, Timis, Romania)

Abstract

This paper examines the fundamentals of the emigration decision and depicts a detailed comprehensive profile of the unemployed people in Romania who decide to emigrate. The research is based on a newly compiled dataset that encloses individual features as microdata, during January 2017 – June 2019. Methodological credentials are anchored on Kaplan-Meier product limit estimator and Cox regression in a competing-risks approach. Main results entail that age, gender, education, region, area of living and unemployment indemnity status are the uttermost credentials that shape the profile of Romanian unemployed emigrants. Young unemployed are the most vulnerable group; therefore, a special attention from the Romanian policymakers and coordinated efforts should be given to leverage the labor market performance of both natives and migrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Mirela CRISTEA & Daniela Emanuela DĂNĂCICĂ & Graţiela Georgiana NOJA, 2021. "Emigration Decision and the Migration Profile of the Unemployed: A Case Study on Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 94-111, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2021:i:2:p:94-111
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    emigration; unemployment; econometric modelling; Romania; strategy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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