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The Impact of Momentum Factors on Multi Asset Portfolio

Author

Listed:
  • Achim BACKHAUS

    (Hauck & Aufhaeuser Privatbankiers.)

  • Aliya ZHAKANOVA ISIKSAL

    (Girne American University, N. Cyprus, via Mersin 10 Turkey.)

Abstract

This article examines a global momentum-based allocation strategy across a broad range of asset classes. It is necessary to break away from a fixed asset allocation because of these unusual and unforeseen market movements, like the tech bubble during the late 1990s and the financial market crisis in 2008. With the dramatic decline in value across all asset classes, the neoclassical capital market theory lost its reputation. This research shows that a dynamic asset allocation process offers an attractive risk-return profile. Furthermore, this work seeks to demonstrate that the classical diversification is not appropriate and in a multi-asset portfolio, asset classes should be managed dynamically. The predictive power of the factors, absolute and relative momentum, is evaluated and analysed in a multi asset context. The data history ranges from 1992 to 2015. The calculations are based on the momentum of various equity markets (World, Emerging Markets, REIT`s), government bonds (US- Treasuries), foreign currencies (JPY/USD, EUR/USD) and commodities (energy, industrial metals, precious metals, agricultural commodities and livestock). Absolute and relative momentum portfolios are constructed using those three asset classes (? ??? ) that present the highest relative or absolute monthly ex-post return within th entire investment universe (? ??? ). The research indicates that both absolute and relative momentum strategies are suitable approaches for constructing and managing high performing multi-asset portfolios, especially it was proved by the outperformance of the portfolios during “dot com” bubble, financial crises of 2008.

Suggested Citation

  • Achim BACKHAUS & Aliya ZHAKANOVA ISIKSAL, 2016. "The Impact of Momentum Factors on Multi Asset Portfolio," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 146-169, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2016:i:4:p:146-169
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Achim Backhaus & Aliya Zhakanova Isiksal & Matthias Bausch, 2022. "What Financial Conditions Affect Dynamic Equity Risk Factor Allocation?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-21, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    factor allocation; momentum; multi-asset; portfolio theory; dynamic asset allocation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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