IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rjr/romjef/v5y2008i4p88-110.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Technology Forecasting Of New Materials: The Example Of Nanosized Ceramic Powders

Author

Listed:
  • Cheng, An-Chin
  • Chen, Chia-Yon

Abstract

New materials have been recognized as significant drivers for corporate growth and profitability in today’s fast changing environments. The nanosized ceramic powders played important parts in new materials field nowadays. However, little has been done in discussing the technology forecasting for the new materials development. Accordingly, this study applied the growth curve method to investigate the technology performances of nanosized ceramic powders. We adopted the bibliometric analysis through EI database and trademark office (USPTO) database to gain the useful data for this work. The effort resulted in nanosized ceramic powders were all in the initial growth periods of technological life cycles. The technology performances of nanosized ceramic powders through the EI and USPTO databases were similar and verified by each other. And there were parts of substitutions between traditional and nanosized ceramic powders. The bibliometric analysis was proposed as the simple and efficient tools to link the science and technology activities, and to obtain quantitative and historical data for helping researchers in technology forecasting, especially in rare historical data available fields, such as the new materials fields.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, An-Chin & Chen, Chia-Yon, 2008. "The Technology Forecasting Of New Materials: The Example Of Nanosized Ceramic Powders," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(4), pages 88-110, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:4:p:88-110
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef4_08/rjef4_08_3.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. S. Varun Shrivats & Sujit Bhattacharya, 2014. "Forecasting the trend of international scientific collaboration," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 101(3), pages 1941-1954, December.
    2. Koopo Kwon & Sungchan Jun & Yong-Jae Lee & Sanghei Choi & Chulung Lee, 2022. "Logistics Technology Forecasting Framework Using Patent Analysis for Technology Roadmap," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-30, April.
    3. Kim, Gabjo & Bae, Jinwoo, 2017. "A novel approach to forecast promising technology through patent analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 228-237.
    4. Douglas Henrique Milanez & Leandro Innocentini Lopes Faria & Roniberto Morato Amaral & Daniel Rodrigo Leiva & José Angelo Rodrigues Gregolin, 2014. "Patents in nanotechnology: an analysis using macro-indicators and forecasting curves," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 101(2), pages 1097-1112, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    new materials; bibliometric analysis; technology forecasting.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C40 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - General
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:5:y:2008:i:4:p:88-110. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Corina Saman (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ipacaro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.