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Profitability of Technical Analysis in the Singapore Stock Market: before and after the Asian Financial Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • J. Kung, James

    (Ming Chuan University)

  • Wong, Wing-Keung

    (Hong Kong Baptist University)

Abstract

In the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, a series of reform and liberalization measures have been implemented in Singapore to upgrade its financial markets. This study investigates whether these measures have led to less profitability for those investors who employ technical rules for trading stocks. Our results show that the three trading rules consistently generate higher annual returns for 1988-1996 than those for 1999-2007. Further, they generally perform better than the buy-and-hold (BH) strategy for 1988-1996 but perform no better than the BH strategy for 1999-2007. These findings suggest that the efficiency of the Singapore stock market has been considerably enhanced by the measures implemented after the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Kung, James & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2009. "Profitability of Technical Analysis in the Singapore Stock Market: before and after the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 24, pages 135-150.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0468
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Michael McAleer & John Suen & Wing Keung Wong, 2016. "Profiteering from the Dot-Com Bubble, Subprime Crisis and Asian Financial Crisis," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 67(3), pages 257-279, September.
    2. Osama El Ansary & Mona Atuea, 2017. "Testing the Effect of Technical Analysis Strategies on Achieving Abnormal Return: Evidence from Egyptian Stock Market," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 1-26, May.
    3. Doh-Khul Kim & Sung-Min Kim, 2022. "What Do We Learn from Daily Leaders and Laggards in Stock Investment? Do They Help Outperform the Market Average?," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(2), pages 1-44, February.
    4. Mohamed Masry, 2017. "The Impact of Technical Analysis on Stock Returns in an Emerging Capital Markets (ECM¡¯s) Country: Theoretical and Empirical Study," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(3), pages 91-107, March.
    5. Smita Roy Trivedi, 2022. "Technical analysis using Heiken Ashi Stochastic: To catch a trend, use a HASTOC," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1836-1847, April.
    6. Edward C. H. Tang, 2024. "Examining the Impacts of the Pandemic on the Housing Bubble in Hong Kong," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 28(1), pages 27-46, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asian financial crisis; profitability; technical analysis; moving average; trading range breakout;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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