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Fiscal or monetary dominance in a small, open economy with fixed exchange rate – the case of the Republic of Macedonia

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  • Borce Trenovski

    (Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia)

  • Biljana Tashevska

    (Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Faculty of Economics, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia)

Abstract

?aking into account the specific features of the Macedonian economy, as a small, open economy with a fixed exchange rate, the goal of this research is to contribute to the discussion of whether countries with such characteristics are under monetary or fiscal dominant regime and whether the dominance has changed over time and why. We use a recursive VAR model to determine whether budget balances in Macedonia were set exogenously and independently from public sector liabilities in the period 2000 – 2011. The results show that the cyclically adjusted balance of central government does not significantly respond to the public debt changes. Thus the basic conclusion is that in the analyzed period, a little attention is paid to the level od public liabilities (public debt) in setting current discretionary fiscal policy, indicating that fiscal policy can undermine the goal of monetary policy and that it dominates over monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Borce Trenovski & Biljana Tashevska, 2015. "Fiscal or monetary dominance in a small, open economy with fixed exchange rate – the case of the Republic of Macedonia," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 33(1), pages 125-145.
  • Handle: RePEc:rfe:zbefri:v:33:y:2015:i:1:p:125-145
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Trenovski, Borce & Tashevska, Biljana, 2016. "Fiscal Sustainability of Macedonia on its path towards the EU," MPRA Paper 76321, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2016.
    2. Anshuman Kamila, 2022. "Fiscal dominance in India: an empirical estimation," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 113-132, June.
    3. Goran Petrevski & Borce Trenovski & Biljana Tashevska, 2019. "The effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in a small open economy – the case of Macedonia," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(6), pages 805-821, November.
    4. Kamila, Anshuman, 2021. "Fiscal dominance in India: An empirical estimation," Working Papers 21/359, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    5. Tashevska, Biljana & Trpkova-Nestorovska, Marija & Trenovski, Borce, 2017. "Estimating a fiscal reaction function for the South East European countries," MPRA Paper 91298, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2018.
    6. Borce Trenovski & Biljana Tashevska, 2019. "Lessons learned from the global recession - redesigned framework of key macroeconomic policies," International Journal of Business and Globalisation, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 22(4), pages 468-489.
    7. Vladimir Filipovski & Taki Fiti & Borce Trenovski, 2016. "Efficiency of the Fiscal Policy and the Fiscal Multipliers – The Case of the Republic of Macedonia," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 3-23.
    8. Maciej Ryczkowski, 2016. "Poland as an inflation nutter:The story of successful output stabilization," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(2), pages 363-392.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; monetary policy; recursive VAR; dominant regime; Republic of Macedonia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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