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Devaluation and trade balance in Latin American countries

Author

Listed:
  • Huseyin Kalyoncu

    (Meliksah University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Kaysery, Turkey)

  • Ilhan Ozturk

    (Cag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Mersin, Turkey)

  • Seyfettin Artan

    (Karadeniz Technical University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Trabzon, Turkey)

  • Kahraman Kalyoncu

    (Aksaray University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Aksaray, Turkey)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine effectiveness of devaluation on the trade balance in four countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Peru. We use the Johansen-Juselius cointegration test and impulse response function to estimate the long-run and short- run effects of devaluation on the trade balance. The estimated results suggest that depreciation improve the trade balance in the long run for the case of Argentina and Peru, and in the short-run there has been J-curve in Argentina and Peru. In addition, the cointegration is found among the four variables (trade balance, domestic income, foreign incomes and real exchange rate) in the case of Argentina and Peru. The results also indicate that there is no cointegration relationship between these variables for Brazil and Mexico. The conclusion of the paper is that the evidence of the J-curve pattern was found for Argentina and Peru only.

Suggested Citation

  • Huseyin Kalyoncu & Ilhan Ozturk & Seyfettin Artan & Kahraman Kalyoncu, 2009. "Devaluation and trade balance in Latin American countries," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 27(1), pages 115-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfe:zbefri:v:27:y:2009:i:1:p:115-128
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Bertsatos, Georgios & Tsounis, Nicholas & Agiomirgianakis, George, 2024. "Handling asymmetries in the trade balance," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 1-13.
    4. Nkenchor Neville Igue & Toyin Segun Ogunleye, 2014. "Impact of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Nigeria," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 26(2), pages 347-358, June.
    5. Kurtović Safet & Halili Blerim & Maxhuni Nehat, 2017. "Effect of Depreciation of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Albania," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 63(3), pages 27-36, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade balance; J-Curve; Marshal-Lerner condition; cointegration; impulse response analysis; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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