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Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach

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  • Yaya KEHO

Abstract

This paper analyses the effects of real exchange rate on the trade balance in Cote d’Ivoire using times series from 1975 to 2017. Although many studies have investigated this issue, most of them assume that this relationship is symmetric. This paper relaxes this assumption employing the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014). The results show that trade balance responds stronger to negative shocks in real exchange rate than to positive ones in the long-run, while the short-run response of trade balance is symmetric.

Suggested Citation

  • Yaya KEHO, 2021. "Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 8(3), pages 9-21, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:8:y:2021:i:3:p:9-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    3. Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Deter Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 62-69.
    4. Jacob Musila & John Newark, 2003. "Does Currency Devaluation Improve the Trade Balance in the Long Run? Evidence from Malawi," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 15(2‐3), pages 339-352.
    5. Christelle Meniago & Joel Hinaunye Eita, 2017. "The effects of exchange rate changes on Sub-Saharan Africa trade," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(3), pages 213-230.
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    7. Stephen P. Magee, 1973. "Currency Contracts, Pass-Through, and Devaluation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(1), pages 303-325.
    8. Drama, Bedi Guy Herve, 2010. "The Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from the Cointegration Analysis and Error-Correction Models," MPRA Paper 21810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Lal, Anil K. & Lowinger, Thomas C., 2002. "The J-Curve: Evidence from East Asia," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 17, pages 397-415.
    10. SOLOMON PRINCE Nathaniel, 2020. "Does Exchange Rate Have Asymmetric Impact On Trade Balance? Fresh Insights From Combined Cointegration," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 15(1), pages 259-269, April.
    11. Aniekan Okon AKPANSUNG & Sikiru Jimoh BABALOLA, 2013. "Effects of Real Exchange Rate on Trade Balance: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(5), pages 605-617.
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    Cited by:

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    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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