IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rbs/ijbrss/v8y2019i4p17-33.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Price-Earnings Multiple as an Investment Assessment Tool in Analyzing Stock Market Performance of Selected Universal Banks in the Philippines

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio J. Dayag

    (University of Sto. Tomas (UST), Espaňa, Manila)

  • Fernando Trinidad

    (University of Sto. Tomas (UST) Graduate School, Espaňa, Manila)

Abstract

Price-Earning Ratio or P/E Multiple is a widely used, straightforward investment assessment tool in developed countries. However, the method has not been utilized as much in stock market performance analysis in developing countries such as the Philippines. Using the top ten universal banks in the country, this paper utilized Price-Earnings Ratio [PER] as valuation tool and dependent variable, and sought to determine its value drivers. Used as independent variables are macroeconomic variables gross domestic product [GDP] growth rate, inflation rate, annual interest rate; stock market index Philippine Stock Exchange [PSEi]; and firm-specific variables return on equity [ROE], growth rate of ROE, growth rate of earnings per share, dividend payout ratio [DPO, growth rate of income, and price-book value [PBV] ratio. Results showed that among the independent variables, ROE, PBV ratio, and PSE index are statistically significant. The model’s (R2) is 63.7%, which is a fairly good fit. Key Words:Price-earnings Ratio, Universal Banks, Stock Valuation, Bank Valuation, Valuation Tools

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio J. Dayag & Fernando Trinidad, 2019. "Price-Earnings Multiple as an Investment Assessment Tool in Analyzing Stock Market Performance of Selected Universal Banks in the Philippines," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 8(4), pages 17-33, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbs:ijbrss:v:8:y:2019:i:4:p:17-33
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ssbfnet.com/ojs/index.php/ijrbs/article/view/290/262
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.ssbfnet.com/ojs/index.php/ijrbs/article/view/290
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bhargav Maniar, 2014. "Factors Influencing Pricing Multiples in India," The IUP Journal of Applied Finance, IUP Publications, vol. 20(1), pages 23-33, January.
    2. Bachar FAKHRY, 2016. "A Literature Review of the Efficient Market Hypothesis," Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 3(3), pages 431-442, September.
    3. Jacek Welc, 2011. "Do Fundamentally-Adjusted Valuation Multiples Improve Valuation Accuracy? The Case Of The Polish Stock Market," Accounting & Taxation, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 3(1), pages 57-70.
    4. Farooq, Omar & Ahmed, Neveen, 2018. "Does inflation affect sensitivity of investment to stock prices? Evidence from emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 160-164.
    5. Houmes, Robert & Chira, Inga, 2015. "The effect of ownership structure on the price earnings ratio — returns anomaly," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 140-147.
    6. Pierre Rostan & Alexandra Rostan, 2012. "Assessing the Predictive Power of Customer Satisfaction for Financial and Market Performances: Price-to-Earnings Ratio is a Better Predictor Overall," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 2(1), pages 59-74.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alsuhaibani, Waleed & Houmes, Robert & Wang, Daphne, 2023. "The evolution of financial reporting quality for companies listed on the Tadawul Stock Exchange in Saudi Arabia: New emerging markets' evidence," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Jacek Welc, 2014. "Impact of Earnings Smoothness on Stock Prices, Stock Returns and Future Earnings Changes - the Polish Experience," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(3), pages 67-94.
    3. Zhiyong Zheng & Jian He & Yingjie Yang & Mengting Zhang & Desheng Wu & Yang Bian & Jianhong Cao, 2023. "Does financial leverage volatility induce systemic financial risk? Empirical insight based on the Chinese fintech sector," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 1142-1161, March.
    4. Lucotte, Yannick & Pradines-Jobet, Florian, 2023. "The inflation loop is not a myth," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    5. Ghaith N. Al-Eitan & Nofan Hamed Al Oleemat, 2015. "The Causality Relationship between Financial Market Indexes and Financial Ratios: Evidence from Amman Stock Exchange," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 5(2), pages 23-31, April.
    6. Bachar Fakhry & Christian Richter, 2018. "Does the Federal Constitutional Court Ruling Mean the German Financial Market is Efficient?," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 4(2), pages 111-125.
    7. Vietha Devia Sagita Sumantri, 2020. "Analysis Factors Affecting Indonesia Stock Market (Case Studies on Consumer Goods Index)," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 10-23.
    8. Tosun, Onur Kemal, 2021. "Changes in corporate governance: Externally dictated vs voluntarily determined," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Quynh Trang Phan & Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat, 2022. "How price informativeness affects the sensitivity of investment-to-stock price in Vietnamese listed firms," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 12(1), pages 28-61.
    10. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
    11. Bunea, Ovidiu-Iulian & Corbos, Razvan-Andrei & Popescu, Ruxandra-Irina, 2019. "Influence of some financial indicators on return on equity ratio in the Romanian energy sector - A competitive approach using a DuPont-based analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    12. Minea Elena Loredana, 2019. "A Critical Theoretical Analysis On The Implications Of Efficient Market Hypothesis (Emh)," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6, pages 298-303, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rbs:ijbrss:v:8:y:2019:i:4:p:17-33. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Umit Hacioglu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ssbffea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.