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Determinants of SME credit worthiness under Basel rules: the value of credit history information

Author

Listed:
  • Francesco Dainelli
  • Francesco Giunta
  • Fabrizio Cipollini

    (University of Florence)

Abstract

The Basel III Accord has reportedly had an impact on SME financing. In this paper, we aim to highlight the determinants of SME credit worthiness. We use credit history in addition to financial ratios and OhybridO indicators that have been built by mixing credit history with financial statement data. We develop a failure prediction logit model on 187 Italian SMEs. The use of short-term credit lines is the most important variable. Contrary to common understanding, capitalization levels do not affect ratings. Lastly, credit worthiness is sensitive to sale profitability.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesco Dainelli & Francesco Giunta & Fabrizio Cipollini, 2013. "Determinants of SME credit worthiness under Basel rules: the value of credit history information," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 66(264), pages 21-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:psl:pslqrr:2013:13
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    File URL: http://ojs.uniroma1.it/index.php/PSLQuarterlyReview/article/view/10302/10219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Modina, Michele & Pietrovito, Filomena & Gallucci, Carmen & Formisano, Vincenzo, 2023. "Predicting SMEs’ default risk: Evidence from bank-firm relationship data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 254-268.
    2. Carmen Gallucci & Rosalia Santullli & Michele Modina & Vincenzo Formisano, 2023. "Financial ratios, corporate governance and bank-firm information: a Bayesian approach to predict SMEs’ default," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 27(3), pages 873-892, September.
    3. Corazza, Marco & Funari, Stefania & Gusso, Riccardo, 2016. "Creditworthiness evaluation of Italian SMEs at the beginning of the 2007–2008 crisis: An MCDA approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-26.
    4. Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Stefania Funari & Riccardo Gusso, 2017. "PSO-based tuning of MURAME parameters for creditworthiness evaluation of Italian SMEs," Working Papers 04, Venice School of Management - Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    5. Alessandro Roncaglia, 2013. "Introduction: on the role of a generalist journal," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 66(264), pages 3-6.
    6. Bitetto, Alessandro & Cerchiello, Paola & Filomeni, Stefano & Tanda, Alessandra & Tarantino, Barbara, 2023. "Machine learning and credit risk: Empirical evidence from small- and mid-sized businesses," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Basel accord; Small business financing; credit historical data; rating;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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