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Chocs pétroliers et politiques économiques nationales. Simulation à l’aide d’un modèle d’équilibre général pour la Tunisie

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  • Bernard Decaluwé
  • Marie-Claude Martin
  • Marc Leduc
  • Nejib Bousselmi

Abstract

[fre] Chocs pétroliers et politiques économiques nationales. Simulation à l'aide d'un modèle d'équilibre général pour la Tunisie. . L'objectif de l'étude est de présenter, dans le cadre d'un modèle calculable d'équilibre général, un effort de modélisation des comportements de production, d'importation et d'exportation des hydrocarbures d'une petite économie semi-industrialisée productrice de pétrole (La Tunisie). Nous avons voulu souligner qu'un programme d'ajustement qui se veut efficace pour contrer les effets d'un choc pétrolier négatif exige le recours à des trains de mesures dont les différents impacts doivent être soigneusement examinés. [eng] Oïl shocks and national economic policies : a computable general equiltorium simulation for Tunisia. . The goal of this paper is to present in a computable general equilibrium context an attempt to model the behavior of a small semi-industrialized oilproducing economy in the production, importation and exportation of hydro-carbons. We demonstrate that in order to effectively counter the impact of a negative shock in the petroleum industry, an adjustment program must include a series of measures of which the diverse effects must be carefully examined.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernard Decaluwé & Marie-Claude Martin & Marc Leduc & Nejib Bousselmi, 1990. "Chocs pétroliers et politiques économiques nationales. Simulation à l’aide d’un modèle d’équilibre général pour la Tunisie," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 41(6), pages 1051-1070.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1990_num_41_6_409252
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1990.409252
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1990.409252
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Drud, Arne & Grais, Wafik & Pyatt, Graham, 1986. "Macroeconomic modeling based on social-accounting principles," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 111-145.
    2. Neary, J. P. & Roberts, K. W. S., 1980. "The theory of household behaviour under rationing," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 25-42, January.
    3. Dewatripont, Mathias & Michel, Gilles, 1987. "On closure rules, homogeneity and dynamics in applied general equilibrium models," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 65-76, June.
    4. Decaluwe, Bernard & Martens, Andre, 1988. "CGE modeling and developing economies: A concise empirical survey of 73 applications to 26 countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 529-568.
    5. Decaluwé, Bernard & Martens, André & Monette, Marcel, 1986. "Comment construire un modèle calculable d’équilibre général? Une illustration," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 62(3), pages 442-473, septembre.
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    1. Djiofack, Calvin Z. & Omgba, Luc Désiré, 2011. "Oil depletion and development in Cameroon: A critical appraisal of the permanent income hypothesis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 7202-7216.

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