IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prs/reveco/reco_0035-2764_1990_num_41_3_409223.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inflation anticipée, politique monétaire et taux d'intérêt aux Etats-Unis

Author

Listed:
  • Patrick Artus
  • Sani Avouyi-Dovi

Abstract

[fre] Inflation anticipée, politique monétaire et taux d'intérêt aux Etats-Unis. . On estime dans cet article sur données mensuelles une fonction de réaction par les taux courts des autorités monétaires américaines, réalisée en y intégrant l'inflation prévue, période par période, à l'aide d'un modèle structurel et multi-sectoriel de la boucle prix-salaires aux États-Unis. La comparaison avec les résultats obtenus en utilisant les prix observés permet de se demander si la FED réagit bien en fonction d'anticipations d'inflation. On utilise aussi ces séries de prix pour estimer une équation de structure par terme des taux d'intérêt aux États-Unis. [eng] Expected inflation, monetaty policy and interest rates in the united states. . After having estimated a small model explaining wages and priees in the United States, we use this model to generale rational inflationnary expectations. We try to introduce those expectations in the Fed's reaction function on interest rates and in the term structure of interest rates equation, to analyse the extent of forward-looking behavior of the monetary authorities and of the public.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Artus & Sani Avouyi-Dovi, 1990. "Inflation anticipée, politique monétaire et taux d'intérêt aux Etats-Unis," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 41(3), pages 581-598.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1990_num_41_3_409223
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1990.409223
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1990.409223
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3406/reco.1990.409223
    Download Restriction: Data and metadata provided by Persée are licensed under a Creative Commons "Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0" License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
    File URL: https://www.persee.fr/doc/reco_0035-2764_1990_num_41_3_409223
    Download Restriction: Data and metadata provided by Persée are licensed under a Creative Commons "Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0" License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/reco.1990.409223?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. William H. Branson & Julio J. Rotemberg, 1991. "International Adjustment with Wage Rigidity," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 13-44, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Bradley, Michael D & Potter, Susan M, 1986. "The State of the Federal Budget and the State of the Economy: Further Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 24(1), pages 143-153, January.
    3. Marothia, Dinesh K. & Phillips, William E., 1982. "Demand and supply functions for money in Canada : Some further evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 249-261.
    4. Calzolari, Giorgio, 2012. "Econometric notes," MPRA Paper 36765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jeffrey Sachs, 1986. "High Unemployment in Europe: Diagnosis and Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 1830, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Robert J. Gordon, 1991. "Productivity, Wages, and Prices Inside and Outside of Manufacturing in the U.S., Japan, and Europe," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 153-207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Gordon, Robert J, 1982. "Why U.S. Wage and Employment Behaviour Differs from That in Britain and Japan," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(365), pages 13-44, March.
    8. Basevi, G. & Calzolari, M., 1982. "Monetary Authorities' Reaction Functions in a Model of Exchange - Rate Determination for the European Monetary System," Cahiers de recherche 8218, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    9. Levy, Mickey D., 1981. "Factors affecting monetary policy in an era of inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 351-373.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anne Bauer & Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi & Catherine Augory, 1993. "Les effets de la réunification sur les taux d'intérêt allemands," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 44(5), pages 1001-1026.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Franz, Wolfgang, 1995. "Theoretische Ansätze zur Erklärung der Arbeitslosigkeit: Wo stehen wir 1995?," Discussion Papers 27, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    2. Patrick Artus, 1991. "Indicateurs de conjoncture et marchés financiers," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 99(3), pages 31-41.
    3. Taylor, John B, 1983. "Union Wage Settlements during a Disinflation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(5), pages 981-993, December.
    4. Victor Zarnowitz, 1989. "Cost and Price Movements in Business Cycle Theories and Experience: Hypotheses of Sticky Wages and Prices (SEE ALSO WP3132-send out together)," NBER Working Papers 3131, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Franz, Wolfgang, 1990. "Hysteresis in Economic Relationships: An Overview," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 109-125.
    6. Kawai, Eizo, 2001. "Re-examination of wage, employment, and hours adjustments: what is crucial for differences in the adjustments?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 483-497, December.
    7. Nakabayashi, Masaki, 2011. "Schooling, employer learning, and internal labor market effect: Wage dynamics and human capital investment in the Japanese steel industry, 1930-1960s," MPRA Paper 30597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Hibbs, Douglas A, Jr, 2000. "Bread and Peace Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 104(1-2), pages 149-180, July.
    9. Peter Chinloy, 1989. "Measuring labor cost for productivity comparison," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 5-19, March.
    10. Mulder, C.B., 1987. "Inefficiency of automatically linking unemployment benefits to private sector wage rates," Other publications TiSEM 0ed0d42c-6fc5-4885-a8de-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    11. Saten Kumar & Don J. Webber & Geoff Perry, 2012. "Real wages, inflation and labour productivity in Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(23), pages 2945-2954, August.
    12. Gordon, Robert J, 1982. "Why U.S. Wage and Employment Behaviour Differs from That in Britain and Japan," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(365), pages 13-44, March.
    13. Garrison, Charles B. & Lee, Feng-Yao, 1995. "The effect of macroeconomic variables on economic growth rates: A cross-country study," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 303-317.
    14. Peter J. Boettke & Alexander W. Salter & Daniel J. Smith, 2018. "Money as meta-rule: Buchanan’s constitutional economics as a foundation for monetary stability," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 529-555, September.
    15. Boyes, William J. & Mounts, WM. Jr. & Sowell, Clifford & Payne, James E., 1996. "All politics is local: The effect of fiscal and monetary constitutions on economic policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 657-678.
    16. Paqué, Karl-Heinz, 1989. "Wage gaps, hysteresis and structural unemployment: The West German labour market in the seventies and eighties," Kiel Working Papers 358, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    17. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2023. "Nominal and real wages in the UK, 1750–2015: mean reversion, persistence and structural breaks," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-10, August.
    18. Buiter, William H & Purvis, Douglas D, 1980. "Oil, Disinflation, and Export Competitiveness : A Model of the "Dutch Disease"," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 185, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    19. Seltzer, Andrew, 2010. "Did firms cut nominal wages in a deflationary environment?: Micro-level evidence from the late 19th and early 20th century banking industry," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 112-125, January.
    20. Julia Darby & Robert A Hart & Michaela Vecchi, 1998. "Labour Force Participation and the Business Cycle: A Comparative Analysis of Europe, Japan and the United States," Working Papers 9802, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1990_num_41_3_409223. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Equipe PERSEE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.persee.fr/collection/reco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.