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Le dollar et la formation d’un pôle monétaire en Asie

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  • Michel Aglietta
  • Bronka Rzepkowski

Abstract

[fre] Les pays asiatiques ont résisté aux pressions baissières sur le dollar en finançant l’augmentation rapide de la dette extérieure des États-Unis par une forte accumulation de réserves de change. On montre que la poursuite de ce processus présente des risques pour l’équilibre macroéconomique des pays concernés et pour la poursuite de leur intégration régionale. On en déduit que l’opportunité de détacher le yuan chinois du dollar et de modifier les régimes de change des autres pays de manière cohérente existe. Ce serait la première étape vers la formation d’un puissant pôle monétaire régional. . Classification JEL : E58, F31, F32, F33, O53 [eng] The dollar role in the development of an Asian monetary zone . Asian countries have fought depreciating pressures on the dollar in financing the fast-increasing US debt via a strong accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. It will be demonstrated that getting along with this process further is conducive to risks in the countries involved, both for their macroeconomic equilibrium and the pursuit of their regional integration. It can be argued that there is an opportunity to de-couple the Chinese Yuan from the dollar and to change consistently the exchange rate regime of the other countries. It might be the first step toward a strong regional monetary zone. . JEL classification : E58, F31, F32, F33, O53

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Aglietta & Bronka Rzepkowski, 2004. "Le dollar et la formation d’un pôle monétaire en Asie," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 77(4), pages 147-161.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recofi:ecofi_0987-3368_2004_num_77_4_4178
    DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecofi.2004.4178
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert N McCauley & Ben S C Fung, 2003. "Choosing instruments in managing dollar foreign exchange reserves," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    2. C. Fred Bergsten & John Williamson (ed.), 2003. "Dollar Overvaluation and the World Economy," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number sr16, April.
    3. Michel Aglietta & Bronka Rzepkowski, 2004. "Les banques centrales asiatiques et le dollar," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 230.
    4. Eichengreen, Barry, 2004. "Chinese Currency Controversies," CEPR Discussion Papers 4375, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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