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Le paradoxe de la productivité en France et aux États-Unis : une réévaluation

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  • Yannick L’Horty
  • Fabrice Gilles

Abstract

[eng] The productivity paradox in France and in the United States : a re-evaluation.. In the United States, activity accelerated in the second part of the cycle from 1995 on, against a background of slower inflation. The evolution in France was qualitatively the same after 1997, indicating here too the impact of a positive supply-side shock. The diffusion of new information and communication technology (NICT) explains only part of these singularities. On the one hand, a calculation of contributions to growth suggests that it explains roughly half the increase in activity in the United States and one fifth in France. On the other, a trend-cycle decomposition reveals that the trend increase in growth in the United States is highly localised in the NICT producer sectors and that there was hardly any trend-break in productivity gains. In France, where sectoral differences are less distinct, the diffusion of NICT was accompanied by a slowdown in trend productivity gains. In both cases, this leaves little room for the effects of the diffusion of technical progress associated with NICT. [fre] Aux États-Unis, l’activité s’est accélérée dans la deuxième partie du cycle, après 1995, dans un contexte de ralentissement de l’inflation. En France, l’évolution a été qualitativement la même depuis 1997, évoquant là aussi les effets d’un choc d’offre positif. La diffusion des nouvelles technologies de l’information et des communications (NTIC) explique en partie seulement ces singularités. D’un côté, un calcul des contributions à la croissance suggère qu’elle expliquerait environ la moitié de l’augmentation de l’activité aux États-Unis et un cinquième en France. D’un autre côté, une décomposition tendance-cycle révèle que l’augmentation tendancielle de la croissance aux États-Unis est très localisée dans les secteurs producteurs des NTIC et il n’y a guère de rupture tendancielle des gains de productivité. En France, où les écarts sectoriels sont moins nets, la diffusion des NTIC s’est accompagnée d’un ralentissement des gains tendanciels de productivité. Dans les deux cas, il reste peu de place aux effets de diffusion du progrès technique associé aux NTIC.

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  • Yannick L’Horty & Fabrice Gilles, 2003. "Le paradoxe de la productivité en France et aux États-Unis : une réévaluation," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 159(3), pages 1-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2003_num_159_3_6909
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2003.6909
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.2003.6909
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    1. Franck Essosinam KARABOU & Komlan Ametowoyo ADEVE, 2018. "ICT and Economic Growth in WAEMU: An Analysis of Labor Productivity," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 2, pages 12-20.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • P52 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

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