IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prs/ecoprv/ecop_0249-4744_2002_num_154_3_6391.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Un indicateur d'ancrage nominal par le taux de change : illustration par le cas polonais

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Guérineau
  • Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney

Abstract

[eng] A nominal exchange-rate anchor : Polish case study.. Most developing and transition countries have adopted exchange-rate policies that steer an intermediate course between nominal anchor and real target strategies. This article provides an indicator that measures the degree of anchorage. The relevance of the indicator is assessed for Poland and its use clarifies this country''s exchange-rate policy. Moreover, an econometric estimate of the inflation rate shows the explanatory power of the indicator. [fre] La plupart des pays en développement ou en transition vers l'économie de marché mènent des politiques de change intermédiaires entre l'ancrage nominal total et la poursuite exclusive d'une cible de taux de change réel. L'article propose un indicateur qui mesure le degré d’ancrage de la politique de change. La pertinence de l'indicateur est évaluée dans le cas de la Pologne. Son usage permet effectivement d'éclairer la politique menée par ce pays. De plus, une estimation économétrique du taux d'inflation démontre le pouvoir explicatif de l'indicateur.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Guérineau & Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney, 2002. "Un indicateur d'ancrage nominal par le taux de change : illustration par le cas polonais," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 154(3), pages 139-155.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2002_num_154_3_6391
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2002.6391
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.2002.6391
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.3406/ecop.2002.6391
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.persee.fr/doc/ecop_0249-4744_2002_num_154_3_6391
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3406/ecop.2002.6391?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Szapary, Gyorgy & Jakab, Zoltan M., 1998. "Exchange Rate Policy in Transition Economies: The Case of Hungary," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 691-717, December.
    2. Drabek, Zdenek & Brada, Josef C., 1998. "Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of Trade Policy in Transition Economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 642-668, December.
    3. Dariusz Rosati, 1996. "Exchange rate policies during transition from plan to market," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 4(1), pages 159-184, May.
    4. Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont & Ms. Ratna Sahay, 1995. "Inflation and Stabilization in Transition Economies: A Comparison with Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 1995/008, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    6. Williamson, John, 1993. "Exchange Rate Management," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(416), pages 188-197, January.
    7. Bernard Salanié, 1999. "Guide pratique des séries non-stationnaires," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 137(1), pages 119-141.
    8. Desai, Padma, 1998. "Macroeconomic Fragility and Exchange Rate Vulnerability: A Cautionary Record of Transition Economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 621-641, December.
    9. Andrew Berg & Olivier Jean Blanchard, 1994. "Stabilization and Transition: Poland, 1990-91," NBER Chapters, in: The Transition in Eastern Europe, Volume 1, Country Studies, pages 51-92, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Éric Girardin, 1994. "La politique de change dans les pays d'Europe centrale," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 45(3), pages 589-600.
    11. László Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 1997. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(4), pages 430-461, December.
    12. Blanchard, Olivier Jean, 1994. "Transition in Poland," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(426), pages 1169-1177, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY & Samuel GUERINEAU, 2003. "Deflation in China," Working Papers 200323, CERDI.
    2. Guerineau, Samuel & Guillamont Jeanneney, Sylviane, 2005. "Deflation in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 336-363.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Samuel GUERINEAU, 1998. "Construction and Assessment of a Mixed Exchange Policy Indicator: Explanation of Polish Inflation," Working Papers 199818, CERDI.
    2. Dibooglu, Selahattin & Kutan, Ali M., 2001. "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Transition Economies: The Case of Poland and Hungary," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 257-275, June.
    3. David Barlow, 2004. "Purchasing Power Parity in Three Transition Economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 201-221, September.
    4. Brada, Josef C., 1998. "Introduction: Exchange Rates, Capital Flows, and Commercial Policies in Transition Economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 613-620, December.
    5. David Barlow, 2003. "Purchasing Power Parity in Three Transition Economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 201-221, September.
    6. Kemme, David M. & Roy, Saktinil, 2006. "Real exchange rate misalignment: Prelude to crisis?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 207-230, October.
    7. Selahattin Dibooglu & Ali M. Kutan, 1998. "Sources of real and nominal exchange rate fluctuations in transition economies," Working Papers 1998-022, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Josef C. Brada & Ali M. Kutan, 1998. "The persistence of moderate inflation in the Czech Republic and the Koruna crisis of May 1997," Working Papers 1998-021, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    9. Jérôme Creel & Sandrine Levasseur, 2004. "How would a fixed-exchange-rate regime fit the transition economies?. The cases of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 91(5), pages 83-120.
    10. Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2005. "Sources of inflation and output movements in Poland and Hungary: Policy implications for accession to the economic and monetary union," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 107-131, March.
    11. Dibooglu, Selahattin & Kutan, Ali M., 2001. "Sources of inflation and output fluctuations in Poland and Hungary: Implications for full membership in the European Union," ZEI Working Papers B 16-2001, University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies.
    12. Valérie Mignon & Christophe Hurlin, 2005. "Une synthèse des tests de racine unitaire sur données de panel," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 169(3), pages 253-294.
    13. Drabek, Zdenek & Brada, Josef C., 1998. "Exchange Rate Regimes and the Stability of Trade Policy in Transition Economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 642-668, December.
    14. Paul G. Hare, 2000. "Trade Policy during the Transition. Lessons from the 1990s," CERT Discussion Papers 0006, Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University.
    15. Josef Brada & Ali Kutan, 1999. "The End of Moderate Inflation in Three Transition Economies?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 230, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    16. Marek Dabrowski & Jacek Rostowski, 1995. "What Went Wrong? The reasons for the Failure of Stabilization in Russia in 1992," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0044, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    17. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ali Kutan, 2009. "The J-curve in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(20), pages 2523-2532.
    18. Balázs Égert & Kirsten Lommatzsch, 2005. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in the Transition: The Tradable Price-Based Real Appreciation and Estimation Uncertainty," Springer Books, in: Paul J.J. Welfens & Anna Wziątek-Kubiak (ed.), Structural Change and Exchange Rate Dynamics, pages 205-239, Springer.
    19. Balázs Égert & László Halpern & Ronald MacDonald, 2006. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 257-324, April.
    20. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3083 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Claude DIEBOLT & Magali JAOUL-GRAMMARE, 2024. "Gendered Study Choice and Prestige of Professions: France in the Long 20th Century," Working Papers 05-24, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2002_num_154_3_6391. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Equipe PERSEE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.persee.fr/collection/ecop .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.