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Estimation des élasticités de court et de long termes de la demande d'électricité sur données de panel à partir d'estimateurs à rétrécisseur

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  • Hongyi Li
  • G.S. Maddala
  • Robert P. Trost

Abstract

[fre] Estimation des élasticités de court et de long termes de la demande d'électricité sur données de panel à partir d'estimateurs à rétrécisseurs. par Hongyi Li, G.S. Maddala et Robert P. Trost . On peut distinguer trois approches dans l'analyse des données de panel. L'estimation séparée des paramètres sur chaque série individuelle,1 l'estimation sur données empilées, avec ou sans effets spécifiques, et l'estimation sur données empilées en admettant un certain degré d'hétérogénéité, comme dans le modèle à coefficients aléatoires. Dans ce dernier cas, c'est la moyenne des coefficients des' séries individuelles qui nous intéresse. Cet article présente dans un cadre unifié,' les estimateurs relevant de cette troisième catégorie» en recourant à la fois à l'approche classique, à l'approche bayésienne empirique et à l'approche bayésienne classique. Ces méthodes sont illustrées par l'estimation d'élasticités de la demande d'électricité et de gaz naturel des ménages, aux États-Unis. [eng] Estimation of Short Run and Long Run Elasticities of Energy Demand from Panel Data Using Shrinkage . Estimators by Hongyi Li, G.S. Maddala and Robert P. Trost . In the analysis of panel data, there are, broadly speaking, three approaches: to present separate estimates of the parameters in each cross -section, present pooled estimates with or without cross-section specific effects, or present a pooled estimator assuming some, but not complete, heterogeneity, as in the random coefficient model. In the last case, we would be interested in the mean of the coefficients for the cross-sections, or the separate coefficients themselves. The paper presents in a unified framework the estimators in this last case, using both the classical, empirical Bayes, and Bayes methods. The methods are illustrated with estimation of elasticities of residential demand for electricity and natural gas in the U.S.

Suggested Citation

  • Hongyi Li & G.S. Maddala & Robert P. Trost, 1996. "Estimation des élasticités de court et de long termes de la demande d'électricité sur données de panel à partir d'estimateurs à rétrécisseur," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 126(5), pages 127-141.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1996_num_126_5_5827
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.1996.5827
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1996.5827
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Cepii & Cepremap, 2001. "MARMOTTE : a Multinational Model," Working Papers 2001-15, CEPII research center.
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    4. Stéphanie Guichard & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2001. "Comparaison de la formation des salaires dans un panel de pays industrialisés," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 147(1), pages 37-49.

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