IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpol/v2020y2020i5id1291p489-514.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analýza vývoje čistých domácích a zahraničních aktiv bankovní soustavy (příklad České republiky v letech 1996-2017)
[Analysis of Dynamics of Net Home and Foreign Assets of Banking Systems Using the Case of the Czech Republic in 1996-2017]

Author

Listed:
  • Karel Brůna
  • Martin Mandel

Abstract

Relative changes in home and foreign assets of the Czech banking system are negatively correlated in the period 1996-2017. The target of the research is to test this empirical fact deeply to explain how far this is only a balance sheet effect that is a result of booking the exchange rate changes in monetary survey statistics and how far this is a consequence of economic system behaviour. Our empirical analysis using the Granger causality test and the unconditional ARDL ECM model does not rule out the validity of the balance sheet hypothesis. Besides, it explains the economic nature of this phenomenon in relationship with GDP, exchange rate, foreign reserves, short-term interest rates and bank capital dynamics and confirms a possibility of substitutions between net home and foreign assets of a banking system within a money creation process represented by the M2 monetary aggregate.

Suggested Citation

  • Karel Brůna & Martin Mandel, 2020. "Analýza vývoje čistých domácích a zahraničních aktiv bankovní soustavy (příklad České republiky v letech 1996-2017) [Analysis of Dynamics of Net Home and Foreign Assets of Banking Systems Using the," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(5), pages 489-514.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2020:y:2020:i:5:id:1291:p:489-514
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.1291.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.1291.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.polek.1291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bernanke, Ben & Gertler, Mark & Gilchrist, Simon, 1996. "The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 1-15, February.
    2. Paul Davidson, 1992. "International Money and the Real World," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, edition 0, number 978-0-230-37809-4, December.
    3. Mary Amiti & Patrick McGuire & David E. Weinstein, 2017. "Supply- and Demand-side Factors in Global Banking," NBER Working Papers 23536, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Shekhar Aiyar & Charles W. Calomiris & Tomasz Wieladek, 2014. "Identifying channels of credit substitution when bank capital requirements are varied [Which financial frictions? Parsing the evidence from the financial crisis]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 29(77), pages 45-77.
    5. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May.
    6. Becker, Bo & Ivashina, Victoria, 2014. "Cyclicality of credit supply: Firm level evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 76-93.
    7. Johnson, Harry G., 1977. "The monetary approach to the balance of payments : A nontechnical guide," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 251-268, August.
    8. Sudheer Chava & Amiyatosh Purnanandam, 2010. "Is Default Risk Negatively Related to Stock Returns?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(6), pages 2523-2559, June.
    9. Sheila C. Dow, 1986. "Post Keynesian Monetary Theory for an Open Economy," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 237-257, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Annalisa Ferrando & Alexander Popov & Gregory F. Udell, 2019. "Do SMEs Benefit from Unconventional Monetary Policy and How? Microevidence from the Eurozone," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(4), pages 895-928, June.
    2. Guo, Hui & Jiang, Xiaowen, 2021. "Aggregate Distress Risk and Equity Returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Mercè Sala-Rios & Teresa Torres-Solé & Mariona Farré-Perdiguer, 2016. "Credit and business cycles’ relationship: evidence from Spain," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 15(3), pages 149-171, December.
    4. Bordo, Michael D. & Haubrich, Joseph G., 2010. "Credit crises, money and contractions: An historical view," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Lee, Sukjoon, 2020. "Liquidity Premium, Credit Costs, and Optimal Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 104825, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ongena, Steven & Schindele, Ibolya & Vonnák, Dzsamila, 2021. "In lands of foreign currency credit, bank lending channels run through?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. Cecchetti, Stephen G., 2016. "On the separation of monetary and prudential policy: How much of the precrisis consensus remains?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 157-169.
    8. Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December.
    9. Pamphile MEZUI-MBENG, 2012. "Cycle Du Credit Et Cycle Des Affaires Dans Les Pays De La Cemac," Cahiers du CEREFIGE 1202, CEREFIGE (Centre Europeen de Recherche en Economie Financiere et Gestion des Entreprises), Universite de Lorraine, revised 2012.
    10. Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson, 2013. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(6), pages 1483-1525.
    11. Abhishek Bhardwaj & Krishnamurthy Subramanian & Prasanna Tantri, 2022. "Relationship Banking and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from India," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2341-2375, December.
    12. Guender, Alfred V, 2018. "Credit prices vs. credit quantities as predictors of economic activity in Europe: Which tell a better story?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 380-399.
    13. Eriko Naiki & Yuta Ogane, 2020. "Bank soundness and bank lending to new firms during the global financial crisis," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(3), pages 513-541, July.
    14. Ferrando, Annalisa & Popov, Alexander & Udell, Gregory F., 2017. "Sovereign stress and SMEs’ access to finance: Evidence from the ECB's SAFE survey," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 65-80.
    15. Xu, Zhaoxia, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty, cost of capital, and corporate innovation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    16. Paul Konietschke & Steven Ongena & Aurea Ponte Marques, 2022. "Stress tests and capital requirement disclosures: do they impact banks' lending and risk-taking decisions?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-60, Swiss Finance Institute.
    17. Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Christos S. Savva, 2020. "Cross-Border Spillovers in Foreign Currency Credit," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2002, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    18. Cappelletti, Giuseppe & Ponte Marques, Aurea & Salleo, Carmelo & Martín, Diego Vila, 2020. "How do banking groups react to macroprudential policies? Cross-border spillover effects of higher capital buffers on lending, risk-taking and internal markets," Working Paper Series 2497, European Central Bank.
    19. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    20. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2022. "Financial Intermediation and the Economy," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2022-2, Nobel Prize Committee.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary survey; Czech National Bank; money endogeneity; ARDL ECM model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2020:y:2020:i:5:id:1291:p:489-514. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.