IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpep/v2021y2021i3id769p316-335.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Calibration of Borrower-based Macroprudential Measures for Mortgage Exposures: Rigorous Approach and Its Application to the Czech Republic

Author

Listed:
  • Hana Hejlová
  • Libor Holub
  • Miroslav Plašil

Abstract

Although the use of residential real estate macroprudential tools has become common in recent years, rigorous approaches to their calibration have been relatively scarce. The goal of this paper is to present an approach to (i) evaluating direct risks to financial stability related to residential real estate exposures, and to (ii) calibrating borrower-based macroprudential measures. First we present a macroprudential indicator of potential losses related to the provision of new mortgage loans. Then we show how to determine risky values of the loan-to-value, loan-to-income and loan service-to-income ratios by per-forming stress tests on the individual new mortgage loans. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of this approach on the case of the Czech Republic. We conclude by show-ing that simultaneous adoption of several macroprudential measures may enhance their efficiency without imposing higher restrictions on the mortgage market.

Suggested Citation

  • Hana Hejlová & Libor Holub & Miroslav Plašil, 2021. "Calibration of Borrower-based Macroprudential Measures for Mortgage Exposures: Rigorous Approach and Its Application to the Czech Republic," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(3), pages 316-335.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2021:y:2021:i:3:id:769:p:316-335
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.769
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pep.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.pep.769.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://pep.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.pep.769.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.pep.769?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christian Upper, 2017. "Macroprudential frameworks, implementation and relationship with other policies," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential frameworks, implementation and relationship with other policies, volume 94, pages 1-5, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Miroslav Plasil & Michal Andrle, 2019. "Assessing house price sustainability," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes,, Czech National Bank.
    3. Bank for International Settlements, 2017. "Macroprudential frameworks, implementation and relationship with other policies," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 94.
    4. Martin Schneider, 2013. "Are Recent Increases of Residential Property Prices in Vienna and Austria Justified by Fundamentals?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 29-46.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hodula, Martin & Melecký, Martin & Pfeifer, Lukáš & Szabo, Milan, 2023. "Cooling the mortgage loan market: The effect of borrower-based limits on new mortgage lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    2. Martin Hodula & Milan Szabo & Lukas Pfeifer & Martin Melecky, 2022. "Cooling the Mortgage Loan Market: The Effect of Recommended Borrower-Based Limits on New Mortgage Lending," Working Papers 2022/3, Czech National Bank.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hana Hejlová & Libor Holub & Miroslav Plašil, . "Calibration of Borrower-based Macroprudential Measures for Mortgage Exposures: Rigorous Approach and Its Application to the Czech Republic," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 0.
    2. Hertrich Markus, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
    3. Nikolay Hristov & Oliver Hülsewig & Benedikt Kolb, 2021. "Macroprudential Policy and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 9342, CESifo.
    4. Nicholas Garvin & Alex Kearney & Corrine Rosé, 2021. "Macroprudential Limits on Mortgage Products: The Australian Experience," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2021-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    5. Brian Micallef, 2016. "Property price misalignment with fundamentals in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
    6. Dominik Bernhofer & Octavio Fernández-Amador & Martin Gächter & Friedrich Sindermann, 2014. "Finance, Potential Output and the Business Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Selected Advanced and CESEE Economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 52-75.
    7. Roman Sustek, 2022. "A Back-of-the-Envelope Analysis of House Prices: Czech Republic, 2013-2021," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp737, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    8. Donato Masciandaro, 2018. "Central Banks And Macroprudential Policies: Economics And Politics," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1878, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    9. Lenarčič, Črt & Zorko, Robert & Herman, Uroš & Savšek, Simon, 2016. "A Primer on Slovene House Prices Forecast," MPRA Paper 103552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Mateane, Lebogang, 2020. "Risk preferences, global market conditions and foreign debt: Is there any role for the currency composition of FX reserves?," EconStor Preprints 227484, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    11. Yavuz Arslan & Bulent Guler & Burhan Kuruscu, 2020. "Credit supply driven boom-bust cycles," BIS Working Papers 885, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Péter Fáykiss & Alexandr Palicz & János Szakács & Márton Zsigó, 2018. "Experiences of Debt Cap Regulations in Hungarian Retail Lending," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(1), pages 34-61.
    13. Martin Schneider & Karin Wagner, 2016. "Housing markets in Austria, Germany and Switzerland," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis - 2015 edition, chapter 6, pages v1, 143-1, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    14. Hana Hejlová & Michal Hlaváček & Luboš Komárek, 2017. "A Comprehensive Method for House Price Sustainability Assessment in the Czech Republic," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(3), pages 269-285.
    15. Heike Joebges & Sebastian Dullien & Alejandro Márquez-Velázquez, 2015. "What causes housing bubbles? A theoretical and empirical inquiry," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1501, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    16. Bank for International Settlements, 2020. "Measuring the effectiveness of macroprudential policies using supervisory bank-level data," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 110.
    17. Christian Reiner & Robert Musil, 2023. "The regional variation of a housing boom. Disparities of land prices in Austria, 2000–2018 [Die regionale Differenzierung eines Immobilien-Booms. Disparitäten der Baulandpreise in Österreich, 2000–," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 43(1), pages 125-146, April.
    18. Cengiz Tunc, 2020. "The Effect of Credit Supply on House Prices: Evidence From Turkey," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 228-242, March.
    19. Matysek-Jędrych Anna, 2018. "On the growing accountability of central banks for financial stability–the macroprudential perspective," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 4(4), pages 30-45, November.
    20. Kim, Jihae & Kim, Soyoung & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2019. "Macroprudential policy in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroprudential policy; borrower-based measures; calibration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2021:y:2021:i:3:id:769:p:316-335. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.