IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0239690.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Ageratina adenophora and Lantana camara in Kailash Sacred Landscape, India: Current distribution and future climatic scenarios through modeling

Author

Listed:
  • Alka Chaudhary
  • Mriganka Shekhar Sarkar
  • Bhupendra Singh Adhikari
  • Gopal Singh Rawat

Abstract

The Himalayan region is one of the global biodiversity hotspots. However, its biodiversity and ecosystems are threatened due to abiotic and biotic drivers. One of the major biotic threats to biodiversity in this region is the rapid spread of Invasive Alien Species (IAS). Natural forests and grasslands are increasingly getting infested by IAS affecting regeneration of native species and decline in availability of bio-resources. Assessing the current status of IAS and prediction of their future spread would be vital for evolving specific species management interventions. Keeping this in view, we conducted an in-depth study on two IASs, viz., Ageratina adenophora and Lantana camara in the Indian part of Kailash Sacred Landscape (KSL), Western Himalaya. Intensive field surveys were conducted to collect the presence of A. adenophora (n = 567) and L. camara (n = 120) along an altitudinal gradient between 300 and 3000 m a.s.l. We performed Principal Component Analysis to nullify the multi-colinearity effects of the environmental predictors following MaxEnt species distribution model in the current and future climatic scenarios for both the species. All current and future model precision (i.e., Area Under the Curve; AUC) for both species was higher than 0.81. It is predicted that under the current rate of climate change and higher emission (i.e., RCP 8.5 pathway), A. adenophora will spread 45.3% more than its current distribution and is likely to reach up to 3029 m a.s.l., whereas, L. camara will spread 29.8% more than its current distribution range and likely to reach up to 3018 m a.s.l. Our results will help in future conservation planning and participatory management of forests and grasslands in the Kailash Sacred Landscape–India.

Suggested Citation

  • Alka Chaudhary & Mriganka Shekhar Sarkar & Bhupendra Singh Adhikari & Gopal Singh Rawat, 2021. "Ageratina adenophora and Lantana camara in Kailash Sacred Landscape, India: Current distribution and future climatic scenarios through modeling," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(5), pages 1-15, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0239690
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239690
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0239690
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0239690&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0239690?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wen Lin & Guofa Zhou & Xinyue Cheng & Rumei Xu, 2007. "Fast Economic Development Accelerates Biological Invasions in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 2(11), pages 1-6, November.
    2. Regan Early & Bethany A. Bradley & Jeffrey S. Dukes & Joshua J. Lawler & Julian D. Olden & Dana M. Blumenthal & Patrick Gonzalez & Edwin D. Grosholz & Ines Ibañez & Luke P. Miller & Cascade J. B. Sort, 2016. "Global threats from invasive alien species in the twenty-first century and national response capacities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davide Rassati & Massimo Faccoli & Robert A Haack & Robert J Rabaglia & Edoardo Petrucco Toffolo & Andrea Battisti & Lorenzo Marini, 2016. "Bark and Ambrosia Beetles Show Different Invasion Patterns in the USA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Tambo, Justice & Matimelo, Mathews & Ndhlovu, Mathias & Mbugua, Fredrick & Phiri, Noah, 2021. "Who Benefits? the Gender-Differentiated Impacts of Plant Clinics in Zambia," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315871, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Atakora, Osei Y. & Attafuah, Michael A. & Sintim, Henry O. & Billah, Maxwell K. & Afreh-Nuamah, Kwame, . "Extract of Pimenta Racemosa as Attractant for Bactrocera Dorsalis in Mango Orchards," Sustainable Agriculture Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(2).
    4. Van Eupen, Camille & Maes, Dirk & Herremans, Marc & Swinnen, Kristijn R.R. & Somers, Ben & Luca, Stijn, 2021. "The impact of data quality filtering of opportunistic citizen science data on species distribution model performance," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 444(C).
    5. Gudeta W. Sileshi & Solomon Gebeyehu & Paramu L Mafongoya, 2019. "The threat of alien invasive insect and mite species to food security in Africa and the need for a continent-wide response," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(4), pages 763-775, August.
    6. Qing Zhang & Yanping Wang & Xuan Liu, 2024. "Risk of introduction and establishment of alien vertebrate species in transboundary neighboring areas," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Phillip Cassey & Steven Delean & Julie L Lockwood & Jason S Sadowski & Tim M Blackburn, 2018. "Dissecting the null model for biological invasions: A meta-analysis of the propagule pressure effect," PLOS Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-15, April.
    8. Anna Occhipinti-Ambrogi, 2021. "Biopollution by Invasive Marine Non-Indigenous Species: A Review of Potential Adverse Ecological Effects in a Changing Climate," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(8), pages 1-20, April.
    9. Qi Cai & Yushi Cai & Yali Wen, 2018. "Spatially Differentiated Trends between Forest Pest-Induced Losses and Measures for Their Control in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, December.
    10. Danielle Fraser & Amelia Villaseñor & Anikó B. Tóth & Meghan A. Balk & Jussi T. Eronen & W. Andrew Barr & A. K. Behrensmeyer & Matt Davis & Andrew Du & J. Tyler Faith & Gary R. Graves & Nicholas J. Go, 2022. "Late quaternary biotic homogenization of North American mammalian faunas," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Xuhui Zhang & Haiyan Wei & Zefang Zhao & Jing Liu & Quanzhong Zhang & Xiaoyan Zhang & Wei Gu, 2020. "The Global Potential Distribution of Invasive Plants: Anredera cordifolia under Climate Change and Human Activity Based on Random Forest Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-18, February.
    12. Leopold A J Nagelkerke & Eline van Onselen & Nils van Kessel & Rob S E W Leuven, 2018. "Functional feeding traits as predictors of invasive success of alien freshwater fish species using a food-fish model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-13, June.
    13. McKee, Sophie & Elser, Julie & Miller, Maryfrances & Liu, Lirong & Miller, Ryan & Shwiff, Steven S. & Shwiff, Stephanie A., 2022. "Economic Damages of Wild Pigs in Non-Traditional Areas: From the Fairway to the After Life," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(01), May.
    14. Dingcheng Huang & Runzhi Zhang & Ke Chung Kim & Andrew V Suarez, 2012. "Spatial Pattern and Determinants of the First Detection Locations of Invasive Alien Species in Mainland China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-7, February.
    15. Justice A. Tambo & Bellancile Uzayisenga & Idah Mugambi & Mary Bundi, 2021. "Do Plant Clinics Improve Household Food Security? Evidence from Rwanda," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 97-116, February.
    16. Manon Bonnet & Gérald Guédon & Marc Pondaven & Sandro Bertolino & Damien Padiolleau & Vanessa Pénisson & Francine Gastinel & Fabien Angot & Pierre-Cyril Renaud & Antonin Frémy & Olivier Pays, 2021. "Aquatic invasive alien rodents in Western France: Where do we stand today after decades of control?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-14, April.
    17. Yiming Li & Tim M. Blackburn & Zexu Luo & Tianjian Song & Freyja Watters & Wenhao Li & Teng Deng & Zhenhua Luo & Yuanyi Li & Jiacong Du & Meiling Niu & Jun Zhang & Jinyu Zhang & Jiaxue Yang & Siqi Wan, 2023. "Quantifying global colonization pressures of alien vertebrates from wildlife trade," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Ya Yang & Wanting Cheng & Xiaoying Wu & Shaoyu Huang & Zhuohui Deng & Xin Zeng & Dongjuan Yuan & Yu Yang & Zhongdao Wu & Yue Chen & Yibiao Zhou & Qingwu Jiang, 2018. "Prediction of the potential global distribution for Biomphalaria straminea, an intermediate host for Schistosoma mansoni," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(5), pages 1-16, May.
    19. Christelle Robinet & Alain Roques & Hongyang Pan & Guofei Fang & Jianren Ye & Yanzhuo Zhang & Jianghua Sun, 2009. "Role of Human-Mediated Dispersal in the Spread of the Pinewood Nematode in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(2), pages 1-10, February.
    20. Ferré, M.A. & Bennett, J.J.R. & Novoplansky, A. & Meron, E., 2022. "Invasion reversal by front transitions and their implications for ecosystem management," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P2).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0239690. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.