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Occurrence mechanism and coping paths of accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds based on system dynamics

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  • Jie Yin
  • Xiang-min Zheng
  • Ruey-Chyn Tsaur

Abstract

The safety of highly aggregated tourist crowds is a challenging and important issue. This paper not only provided a comprehensive analysis of the accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds but also determined the occurrence mechanism and coping paths. Based on the analysis of multiple cases, we found that the variable status of highly aggregated tourist crowds was the result of the interaction of three main elements: multisource pressure, state mutations and management responses. A series of factors interact and result in accidents, and the lack of a management response or a low-quality management response is the root cause of such accidents. A high-quality management response is a basic safety precaution for highly aggregated tourist crowds. Therefore, forming a virtuous circle of multisource pressure, state mutations and management responses is an effective path for coping with accidents.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Yin & Xiang-min Zheng & Ruey-Chyn Tsaur, 2019. "Occurrence mechanism and coping paths of accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds based on system dynamics," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0222389
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0222389
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Emmanuel Garbolino & Jean‐Pierre Chery & Franck Guarnieri, 2016. "A Simplified Approach to Risk Assessment Based on System Dynamics: An Industrial Case Study," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(1), pages 16-29, January.
    3. Yang Miang Goh & Peter E. D. Love & Helen Brown & Jeffery Spickett, 2012. "Organizational Accidents: A Systemic Model of Production versus Protection," Journal of Management Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1), pages 52-76, January.
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