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Surveillance of the Incidence of Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) with Sparse Resources: A Simulation Study Using Data from a National Diabetes Registry, Denmark, 1995–2004

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  • Ralph Brinks
  • Annika Hoyer
  • Sandra Landwehr

Abstract

We propose two new methods to estimate secular trends in the incidence of a chronic disease from a series of prevalence studies and mortality data. One method is a direct inversion formula, the second method is a least squares estimation. Both methods are validated in a simulation study based on data from a diabetes register. The results of the validation show that the proposed methods may be useful in epidemiological settings with sparse resources, where running a register or a series of follow-up studies is difficult or impossible.

Suggested Citation

  • Ralph Brinks & Annika Hoyer & Sandra Landwehr, 2016. "Surveillance of the Incidence of Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs) with Sparse Resources: A Simulation Study Using Data from a National Diabetes Registry, Denmark, 1995–2004," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0152046
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0152046
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barnoya, J & Glantz, Stanton A. Ph.D., 2004. "Association of the California tobacco control program with declines in lung cancer incidence," University of California at San Francisco, Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education qt38f90581, Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education, UC San Francisco.
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