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Ecological Network Indicators of Ecosystem Status and Change in the Baltic Sea

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  • Maciej T Tomczak
  • Johanna J Heymans
  • Johanna Yletyinen
  • Susa Niiranen
  • Saskia A Otto
  • Thorsten Blenckner

Abstract

Several marine ecosystems under anthropogenic pressure have experienced shifts from one ecological state to another. In the central Baltic Sea, the regime shift of the 1980s has been associated with food-web reorganization and redirection of energy flow pathways. These long-term dynamics from 1974 to 2006 have been simulated here using a food-web model forced by climate and fishing. Ecological network analysis was performed to calculate indices of ecosystem change. The model replicated the regime shift. The analyses of indicators suggested that the system’s resilience was higher prior to 1988 and lower thereafter. The ecosystem topology also changed from a web-like structure to a linearized food-web.

Suggested Citation

  • Maciej T Tomczak & Johanna J Heymans & Johanna Yletyinen & Susa Niiranen & Saskia A Otto & Thorsten Blenckner, 2013. "Ecological Network Indicators of Ecosystem Status and Change in the Baltic Sea," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-11, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0075439
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075439
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tomczak, M.T. & Niiranen, S. & Hjerne, O. & Blenckner, T., 2012. "Ecosystem flow dynamics in the Baltic Proper—Using a multi-trophic dataset as a basis for food–web modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 123-147.
    2. Eero, Margit & Köster, Friedrich W. & Vinther, Morten, 2012. "Why is the Eastern Baltic cod recovering?," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 235-240, January.
    3. Tallis, Heather & Levin, Phillip S. & Ruckelshaus, Mary & Lester, Sarah E. & McLeod, Karen L. & Fluharty, David L. & Halpern, Benjamin S., 2010. "The many faces of ecosystem-based management: Making the process work today in real places," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 340-348, March.
    4. Marten Scheffer & Steve Carpenter & Jonathan A. Foley & Carl Folke & Brian Walker, 2001. "Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems," Nature, Nature, vol. 413(6856), pages 591-596, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hyder, Kieran & Rossberg, Axel G. & Allen, J. Icarus & Austen, Melanie C. & Barciela, Rosa M. & Bannister, Hayley J. & Blackwell, Paul G. & Blanchard, Julia L. & Burrows, Michael T. & Defriez, Emma & , 2015. "Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 291-302.
    2. Heymans, Johanna Jacomina & Coll, Marta & Link, Jason S. & Mackinson, Steven & Steenbeek, Jeroen & Walters, Carl & Christensen, Villy, 2016. "Best practice in Ecopath with Ecosim food-web models for ecosystem-based management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 331(C), pages 173-184.
    3. Guesnet, Vanessa & Lassalle, Géraldine & Chaalali, Aurélie & Kearney, Kelly & Saint-Béat, Blanche & Karimi, Battle & Grami, Boutheina & Tecchio, Samuele & Niquil, Nathalie & Lobry, Jérémy, 2015. "Incorporating food-web parameter uncertainty into Ecopath-derived ecological network indicators," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 313(C), pages 29-40.
    4. Chaalali, Aurélie & Beaugrand, Grégory & Raybaud, Virginie & Lassalle, Géraldine & Saint-Béat, Blanche & Le Loc’h, François & Bopp, Laurent & Tecchio, Samuele & Safi, Georges & Chifflet, Marina & Lobr, 2016. "From species distributions to ecosystem structure and function: A methodological perspective," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 334(C), pages 78-90.
    5. Heymans, Johanna J. & Tomczak, Maciej T., 2016. "Regime shifts in the Northern Benguela ecosystem: Challenges for management," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 331(C), pages 151-159.
    6. Vögler, Rodolfo & Arreguín-Sánchez, Francisco & Lercari, Diego & del Monte-Luna, Pablo & Calliari, Danilo, 2015. "The effects of long-term climate variability on the trophodynamics of an estuarine ecosystem in southern South America," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 317(C), pages 83-92.
    7. Nogues, Quentin & Baulaz, Yoann & Clavel, Joanne & Araignous, Emma & Bourdaud, Pierre & Ben Rais Lasram, Frida & Dauvin, Jean-Claude & Girardin, Valérie & Halouani, Ghassen & Le Loc'h, François & Loew, 2023. "The usefulness of food web models in the ecosystem services framework: Quantifying, mapping, and linking services supply," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

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