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Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands

Author

Listed:
  • Arie H Havelaar
  • Floor van Rosse
  • Catalin Bucura
  • Milou A Toetenel
  • Juanita A Haagsma
  • Dorota Kurowicka
  • J (Hans) A P Heesterbeek
  • Niko Speybroeck
  • Merel F M Langelaar
  • Johanna W B van der Giessen
  • Roger M Cooke
  • Marieta A H Braks

Abstract

Background: To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands. Methodology/Principal Findings: A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control. Conclusions/Significance: Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance.

Suggested Citation

  • Arie H Havelaar & Floor van Rosse & Catalin Bucura & Milou A Toetenel & Juanita A Haagsma & Dorota Kurowicka & J (Hans) A P Heesterbeek & Niko Speybroeck & Merel F M Langelaar & Johanna W B van der Gi, 2010. "Prioritizing Emerging Zoonoses in The Netherlands," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(11), pages 1-9, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0013965
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0013965
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Erick VG Komba, 2017. "A Literature Survey of Common Parasitic Zoonoses Encountered at Post-Mortem Examination in Slaughter Stocks in Tanzania: Economic and Public Health Implications," Biomedical Journal of Scientific & Technical Research, Biomedical Research Network+, LLC, vol. 1(5), pages 1279-1284, September.
    2. Steven Duret & Hong‐Minh Hoang & Evelyne Derens‐Bertheau & Anthony Delahaye & Onrawee Laguerre & Laurent Guillier, 2019. "Combining Quantitative Risk Assessment of Human Health, Food Waste, and Energy Consumption: The Next Step in the Development of the Food Cold Chain?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 906-925, April.
    3. Alberto Garre & Geraldine Boué & Pablo S. Fernández & Jeanne‐Marie Membré & Jose A. Egea, 2020. "Evaluation of Multicriteria Decision Analysis Algorithms in Food Safety: A Case Study on Emerging Zoonoses Prioritization," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(2), pages 336-351, February.

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