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Relative transmissibility of shigellosis among different age groups: A modeling study in Hubei Province, China

Author

Listed:
  • Zeyu Zhao
  • Qi Chen
  • Yao Wang
  • Meijie Chu
  • Qingqing Hu
  • Mikah Ngwanguong Hannah
  • Jia Rui
  • Xingchun Liu
  • Yunhan Yu
  • Fuwei Zhao
  • Zhengyun Ren
  • Shanshan Yu
  • Ran An
  • Lili Pan
  • Yi-Chen Chiang
  • Benhua Zhao
  • Yanhua Su
  • Bin Zhao
  • Tianmu Chen

Abstract

Shigellosis is a heavy disease burden in China especially in children aged under 5 years. However, the age-related factors involved in transmission of shigellosis are unclear. An age-specific Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious/Asymptomatic–Recovered (SEIAR) model was applied to shigellosis surveillance data maintained by Hubei Province Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 2005 to 2017. The individuals were divided into four age groups (≤ 5 years, 6–24 years, 25–59 years, and ≥ 60 years). The effective reproduction number (Reff), including infectivity (RI) and susceptibility (RS) was calculated to assess the transmissibility of different age groups. From 2005 to 2017, 130,768 shigellosis cases were reported in Hubei Province. The SEIAR model fitted well with the reported data (P

Suggested Citation

  • Zeyu Zhao & Qi Chen & Yao Wang & Meijie Chu & Qingqing Hu & Mikah Ngwanguong Hannah & Jia Rui & Xingchun Liu & Yunhan Yu & Fuwei Zhao & Zhengyun Ren & Shanshan Yu & Ran An & Lili Pan & Yi-Chen Chiang , 2021. "Relative transmissibility of shigellosis among different age groups: A modeling study in Hubei Province, China," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pntd00:0009501
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009501
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tianmu Chen & Ross Ka-kit Leung & Zi Zhou & Ruchun Liu & Xixing Zhang & Lijie Zhang, 2014. "Investigation of Key Interventions for Shigellosis Outbreak Control in China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(4), pages 1-9, April.
    2. Clough, Sharyn, 2011. "Gender and the hygiene hypothesis," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 72(4), pages 486-493, February.
    3. Long Yan & Hong Wang & Xuan Zhang & Ming-Yue Li & Juan He, 2017. "Impact of meteorological factors on the incidence of bacillary dysentery in Beijing, China: A time series analysis (1970-2012)," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-13, August.
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