IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pcbi00/1003166.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Parameter Trajectory Analysis to Identify Treatment Effects of Pharmacological Interventions

Author

Listed:
  • Christian A Tiemann
  • Joep Vanlier
  • Maaike H Oosterveer
  • Albert K Groen
  • Peter A J Hilbers
  • Natal A W van Riel

Abstract

The field of medical systems biology aims to advance understanding of molecular mechanisms that drive disease progression and to translate this knowledge into therapies to effectively treat diseases. A challenging task is the investigation of long-term effects of a (pharmacological) treatment, to establish its applicability and to identify potential side effects. We present a new modeling approach, called Analysis of Dynamic Adaptations in Parameter Trajectories (ADAPT), to analyze the long-term effects of a pharmacological intervention. A concept of time-dependent evolution of model parameters is introduced to study the dynamics of molecular adaptations. The progression of these adaptations is predicted by identifying necessary dynamic changes in the model parameters to describe the transition between experimental data obtained during different stages of the treatment. The trajectories provide insight in the affected underlying biological systems and identify the molecular events that should be studied in more detail to unravel the mechanistic basis of treatment outcome. Modulating effects caused by interactions with the proteome and transcriptome levels, which are often less well understood, can be captured by the time-dependent descriptions of the parameters. ADAPT was employed to identify metabolic adaptations induced upon pharmacological activation of the liver X receptor (LXR), a potential drug target to treat or prevent atherosclerosis. The trajectories were investigated to study the cascade of adaptations. This provided a counter-intuitive insight concerning the function of scavenger receptor class B1 (SR-B1), a receptor that facilitates the hepatic uptake of cholesterol. Although activation of LXR promotes cholesterol efflux and -excretion, our computational analysis showed that the hepatic capacity to clear cholesterol was reduced upon prolonged treatment. This prediction was confirmed experimentally by immunoblotting measurements of SR-B1 in hepatic membranes. Next to the identification of potential unwanted side effects, we demonstrate how ADAPT can be used to design new target interventions to prevent these.Author Summary: A driving ambition of medical systems biology is to advance our understanding of molecular processes that drive the progression of complex diseases such as Type 2 Diabetes and cardiovascular disease. This insight is essential to enable the development of therapies to effectively treat diseases. A challenging task is to investigate the long-term effects of a treatment, in order to establish its applicability and to identify potential side effects. As such, there is a growing need for novel approaches to support this research. Here, we present a new computational approach to identify treatment effects. We make use of a computational model of the biological system. The model is used to describe the experimental data obtained during different stages of the treatment. To incorporate the long-term/progressive adaptations in the system, induced by changes in gene and protein expression, the model is iteratively updated. The approach was employed to identify metabolic adaptations induced by a potential anti-atherosclerotic and anti-diabetic drug target. Our approach identifies the molecular events that should be studied in more detail to establish the mechanistic basis of treatment outcome. New biological insight was obtained concerning the metabolism of cholesterol, which was in turn experimentally validated.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian A Tiemann & Joep Vanlier & Maaike H Oosterveer & Albert K Groen & Peter A J Hilbers & Natal A W van Riel, 2013. "Parameter Trajectory Analysis to Identify Treatment Effects of Pharmacological Interventions," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(8), pages 1-15, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1003166
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003166
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003166
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003166&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003166?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gunnar Cedersund & Jacob Roll & Erik Ulfhielm & Anna Danielsson & Henrik Tidefelt & Peter Strålfors, 2008. "Model-Based Hypothesis Testing of Key Mechanisms in Initial Phase of Insulin Signaling," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 4(6), pages 1-10, June.
    2. Ryan N Gutenkunst & Joshua J Waterfall & Fergal P Casey & Kevin S Brown & Christopher R Myers & James P Sethna, 2007. "Universally Sloppy Parameter Sensitivities in Systems Biology Models," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(10), pages 1-8, October.
    3. Marsaglia, George & Tsang, Wai Wan & Wang, Jingbo, 2003. "Evaluating Kolmogorov's Distribution," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 8(i18).
    4. T. G. Müller & D. Faller & J. Timmer & I. Swameye & O. Sandra & U. Klingmüller, 2004. "Tests for cycling in a signalling pathway," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 53(4), pages 557-568, November.
    5. Mark Girolami & Ben Calderhead, 2011. "Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(2), pages 123-214, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gabriele Lillacci & Mustafa Khammash, 2010. "Parameter Estimation and Model Selection in Computational Biology," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(3), pages 1-17, March.
    2. Van Kinh Nguyen & Frank Klawonn & Rafael Mikolajczyk & Esteban A Hernandez-Vargas, 2016. "Analysis of Practical Identifiability of a Viral Infection Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(12), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Filippi Sarah & Barnes Chris P. & Cornebise Julien & Stumpf Michael P.H., 2013. "On optimality of kernels for approximate Bayesian computation using sequential Monte Carlo," Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 87-107, March.
    4. Atkinson, Scott E. & Tsionas, Mike G., 2021. "Generalized estimation of productivity with multiple bad outputs: The importance of materials balance constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(3), pages 1165-1186.
    5. Jia Liu & John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2024. "Identification and forecasting of bull and bear markets using multivariate returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 723-745, August.
    6. Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Tsionas, Mike, 2019. "Ordinal-response GARCH models for transaction data: A forecasting exercise," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1273-1287.
    7. Fernández de Marcos Giménez de los Galanes, Alberto, 2022. "Data-driven stabilizations of goodness-of-fit tests," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 35324, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    8. Vanhatalo, Jarno & Veneranta, Lari & Hudd, Richard, 2012. "Species distribution modeling with Gaussian processes: A case study with the youngest stages of sea spawning whitefish (Coregonus lavaretus L. s.l.) larvae," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 49-58.
    9. Will Penny & Biswa Sengupta, 2016. "Annealed Importance Sampling for Neural Mass Models," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(3), pages 1-25, March.
    10. Tatjana Miljkovic & Saleem Shaik & Dragan Miljkovic, 2017. "Redefining standards for body mass index of the US population based on BRFSS data using mixtures," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 197-211, January.
    11. Zarezadeh Zakarya & Costantini Giovanni, 2019. "Particle diffusion Monte Carlo (PDMC)," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 121-130, June.
    12. Michael L. Polemis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2019. "Bayesian nonlinear panel cointegration: an empirical application to the EKC hypothesis," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 113-120, August.
    13. Agudze, Komla M. & Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2022. "Markov switching panel with endogenous synchronization effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 281-298.
    14. Arnak S. Dalalyan, 2017. "Theoretical guarantees for approximate sampling from smooth and log-concave densities," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(3), pages 651-676, June.
    15. Steland, Ansgar, 2020. "Testing and estimating change-points in the covariance matrix of a high-dimensional time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    16. Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2018. "Smooth approximations to monotone concave functions in production analysis: An alternative to nonparametric concave least squares," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 797-807.
    17. Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2020. "Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods," Working Papers 2020_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    18. Enrique Garcia Tejeda, 2022. "La concentracion espacial de los reportes de disparos al 911 en la Ciudad de Mexico: ¿Comportamiento racional en el uso de armas durante la pandemia Covid-19?," Sobre México. Revista de Economía, Sobre México. Temas en economía, vol. 3(5), pages 69-93.
    19. Hongwei Shao & Tao Peng & Zhiwei Ji & Jing Su & Xiaobo Zhou, 2013. "Systematically Studying Kinase Inhibitor Induced Signaling Network Signatures by Integrating Both Therapeutic and Side Effects," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-16, December.
    20. Carvalho, Luis, 2015. "An Improved Evaluation of Kolmogorovs Distribution," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 65(c03).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1003166. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ploscompbiol (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.