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Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa

Author

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  • Itumeleng Pleasure Mongale
  • Tumelo Mashamaite
  • Nyiko Khoza

Abstract

The South African economy is characterised by low levels of household savings which play a very crucial role in stimulating sustained economic growth. At the same time consumers borrow in order to consume. The paper intends to investigate the impact of household savings and financing on economic growth in South Africa. The study is envisaged to assist monetary authorities and policy makers to mitigate this problem. An annual time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2014 is analysed by means of the Vector Error Correction Model approach. The Johansen Cointegration test results confirmed the existence of a long run relationship amongst variables under investigations. Moreover, the results suggest that financing, namely; credit extensions and leasing finance have positive relationships with the country’s economic growth while household savings indicate a negative relationship with growth. That being the case, the recommendation is that since it has been established by other studies that a rapid increase in credit is not commonly perceived to be one of the leading indicators of financial instability, policymakers are advised to consider imposing stringent credit control measures so that the demand for financing can be kept under control.

Suggested Citation

  • Itumeleng Pleasure Mongale & Tumelo Mashamaite & Nyiko Khoza, 2018. "Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(1), pages 105-116, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:pdc:jrnbeh:v:14:y:2018:i:1:p:105-116
    DOI: 10.15208/beh.2018.9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters, in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Vacu, Nomfudo P. & Odhiambo, Nicholas M., 2020. "The Determinants of Import Demand in South Africa: An Empirical Investigation," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(1), pages 51-76.
    3. Robert Kelly & Kieran Mcquinn & Rebecca Stuart, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship Between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy–The Case Of Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(4), pages 455-477.
    4. Naranjo, Andy & Toevs, Alden, 2002. "The Effects of Purchases of Mortgages and Securitization By Government Sponsored Enterprises on Mortgage Yield Spreads and Volatility," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 25(2-3), pages 173-195, Sept.-Dec.
    5. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1.
    6. Mr. Luc Eyraud, 2009. "Why isn't South Africa Growing Faster? a Comparative Approach," IMF Working Papers 2009/025, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mr. S. M. Ali Abbas & Mr. Jakob E Christensen, 2007. "The Role of Domestic Debt Markets in Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Low-Income Countries and Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2007/127, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Angus Deaton, 2005. "Franco Modigliani and the life-cycle theory of consumption," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 58(233-234), pages 91-107.
    9. Aldo Barba & Massimo Pivetti, 2009. "Rising household debt: Its causes and macroeconomic implications--a long-period analysis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 33(1), pages 113-137, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gibogwe, Vincent & Nigo, Ayine & Kufuor, Karen, 2022. "Institutional Quality And Economic Growth In Tanzania," MPRA Paper 115400, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Gibogwe, Vincent & Nigo, Ayine R.S. & Kufuor, Karen, 2022. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 115028, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Oct 2022.
    3. Gibogwe, Vincent & Nigo, Ayine R.S. & Kufuor, Karen, 2022. "Institutional Quality and Economic Growth in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 115486, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Nov 2022.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Household savings; credit extensions; leasing finance; VECM; South Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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