IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/risman/v25y2023i2d10.1057_s41283-023-00117-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of COVID-19 on the contagion effect of risks in the banking industry: based on transfer entropy and social network analysis method

Author

Listed:
  • Wang Yijun

    (Xi ‘an University of Architecture and Technology)

  • Zhang Yu

    (Xi ‘an University of Architecture and Technology)

  • Usman Bashir

    (University of Bahrain)

Abstract

Based on the daily stock closing price data of 14 A-share listed banks in China from January 2009 to June 2021, this paper makes a comparative analysis of the contagion effect of risks in the banking industry before and after the outbreak of COVID-19. Based on the transfer entropy method, this paper calculates the correlation network matrix of inter-bank risk contagion effect and empirically studies the contagion effect of risks in the banking industry before and after the outbreak by using social network analysis method, depicting the network structure of systemic risk contagion in Chinese banking industry. This study found that the risk of inter-bank system increased significantly after the outbreak and the key nodes of bank risk contagion have also changed before and after the outbreak; state-owned banks are less risky, joint-stock banks and local financial institutions are riskier, and the contagion effect of risks between banks is asymmetric.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang Yijun & Zhang Yu & Usman Bashir, 2023. "Impact of COVID-19 on the contagion effect of risks in the banking industry: based on transfer entropy and social network analysis method," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(2), pages 1-41, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:risman:v:25:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1057_s41283-023-00117-1
    DOI: 10.1057/s41283-023-00117-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41283-023-00117-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41283-023-00117-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Topcu, Mert & Gulal, Omer Serkan, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    2. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    3. Usman Bashir & Yugang Yu & Muntazir Hussain & Xiao Wang & Ahmed Ali, 2017. "Do banking system transparency and competition affect nonperforming loans in the Chinese banking sector?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(21), pages 1519-1525, December.
    4. Dan Wang & Wei-Qiang Huang, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomy using Granger-causality network connectedness," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(16), pages 1363-1370, September.
    5. Luo, Changqing & Liu, Lan & Wang, Da, 2021. "Multiscale financial risk contagion between international stock markets: Evidence from EMD-Copula-CoVaR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Feyen, Erik & Alonso Gispert, Tatiana & Kliatskova, Tatsiana & Mare, Davide S., 2021. "Financial Sector Policy Response to COVID-19 in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. Shi Jia & Zhu Zhengwei & Guo Xuesong & Kapucu Naim & Haupt Brittany, 2017. "Assessing Risk Communication in Social Media for Crisis Prevention: A Social Network Analysis of Microblog," Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, April.
    8. J. L. Ma & S. S. Zhu & Y. Wu, 2021. "Joint effects of the liability network and portfolio overlapping on systemic financial risk: contagion and rescue," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 753-770, May.
    9. Rashmi Chaudhary & Priti Bakhshi & Hemendra Gupta, 2020. "Volatility in International Stock Markets: An Empirical Study during COVID-19," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-17, September.
    10. Usman Bashir & Shoaib Khan & Abdulhafiz Jones & Muntazir Hussain, 2021. "Do banking system transparency and market structure affect financial stability of Chinese banks?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 1-41, February.
    11. Mohammad I. Jizi & Robert Dixon, 2017. "Are Risk Management Disclosures Informative or Tautological? Evidence from the U.S. Banking Sector," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(1), pages 7-30, March.
    12. Ya-Chun Gao & Shi-Min Cai & Bing-Hong Wang, 2012. "Hierarchical structure of stock price fluctuations in financial markets," Papers 1209.4175, arXiv.org.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Wang, Wenhao & Işık, Özcan, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic impact on banking sector: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. Shivani Narayan & Dilip Kumar, 2023. "Systemic Risk Transmission from the United States to Asian Economies During the COVID-19 Period," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 22(1), pages 57-84, March.
    3. Pham, Thach N. & Powell, Robert & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2021. "Systemically important banks in Asian emerging markets: Evidence from four systemic risk measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    4. Zhang, Xiaoming & Zhang, Xinsong & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Zhao, Yue, 2023. "Measurement and prediction of systemic risk in China’s banking industry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2021. "Profiting on the Stock Market in Pandemic Times: Study of COVID-19 Effects on CESEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(17), pages 1-20, August.
    6. Song, Wei-Ling & Uzmanoglu, Cihan, 2016. "TARP announcement, bank health, and borrowers’ credit risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 22-32.
    7. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    8. Chang, Carolyn W. & Li, Xiaodan & Lin, Edward M.H. & Yu, Min-Teh, 2018. "Systemic risk, interconnectedness, and non-core activities in Taiwan insurance industry," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 273-284.
    9. ?ikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Impacts of Stock Indices, Oil, and Twitter Sentiment on Major Cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 First Wave," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 133-146.
    10. Xin Huang & Hao Zhou & Haibin Zhu, 2012. "Systemic Risk Contributions," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 55-83, October.
    11. Katherin Carrera-Silva & Olga Maritza Rodríguez Ulcuango & Paula Abdo-Peralta & Ángel Gerardo Castelo Salazar & Carmen Amelia Samaniego Erazo & Diego Haro Ávalos, 2024. "Beyond the Financial Horizon: A Critical Review of Social Responsibility in Latin American Credit Unions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
    12. Schaeck, K. & Silva Buston, C.F. & Wagner, W.B., 2013. "The Two Faces of Interbank Correlation," Discussion Paper 2013-077, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    13. Haibei Chen & Xianglian Zhao, 2023. "Use intention of green financial security intelligence service based on UTAUT," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(10), pages 10709-10742, October.
    14. van de Leur, Michiel C.W. & Lucas, André & Seeger, Norman J., 2017. "Network, market, and book-based systemic risk rankings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 84-90.
    15. Armstrong, Christopher & Nicoletti, Allison & Zhou, Frank S., 2022. "Executive stock options and systemic risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 256-276.
    16. Brada, Josef C. & Gajewski, Paweł & Kutan, Ali M., 2021. "Economic resiliency and recovery, lessons from the financial crisis for the COVID-19 pandemic: A regional perspective from Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Jobst, Andreas A., 2014. "Measuring systemic risk-adjusted liquidity (SRL)—A model approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 270-287.
    18. Massacci, Daniele, 2017. "Least squares estimation of large dimensional threshold factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 101-129.
    19. Dissem, Sonia & Lobez, Frederic, 2020. "Correlation between the 2014 EU-wide stress tests and the market-based measures of systemic risk," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    20. Mahata, Ajit & Rai, Anish & Nurujjaman, Md. & Prakash, Om, 2021. "Modeling and analysis of the effect of COVID-19 on the stock price: V and L-shape recovery," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:risman:v:25:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1057_s41283-023-00117-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.