IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/marecl/v19y2017i1d10.1057_mel.2015.26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Global LNG trade: A comprehensive up to date analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Hamed Nikhalat-Jahromi

    (Management Consultant in Oil & Gas Industry)

  • Panagiotis Angeloudis

    (Port Operations Research and Technology Centre (PORTeC), Imperial College)

  • Michael G H Bell

    (Institute of Transport and Logistics, University of Sydney)

  • Robert A Cochrane

    (Port Operations Research and Technology Centre (PORTeC), Imperial College)

Abstract

The importance of the liquefied-natural-gas (LNG) in global gas trade has grown steadily over the past decades; the article focuses on this significant form of energy and provides an exhaustive portrait of its trade. LNG trade flows both regionally and by country are described and the future of trade is forecast. Next, the business structure is discussed. The traditional LNG trade on long-term contracts (LTCs) is considered and it is explained how vital these contracts are in distributing the volume and price risks in the industry, furthermore, in securing finance for the LNG projects. The essence of gas market liberalization and its effect on LTCs is considered and it is shown that in liberalized gas markets, risk has migrated to upstream. In the light of this risk redistribution, the suppliers’ intent in moving toward vertical integration of the industry is discussed. Later, various types of LNG spot sale in arbitrage, and for uncommitted product to LTCs, are considered and the biggest spot sale markets are identified. Finally, pricing of LNG for different markets in both LTCs and spot sales is discussed and it is forecast that due to the surge of supply, rather than any change in oil prices, LNG prices are anticipated to decrease globally at least for the next 5 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamed Nikhalat-Jahromi & Panagiotis Angeloudis & Michael G H Bell & Robert A Cochrane, 2017. "Global LNG trade: A comprehensive up to date analysis," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(1), pages 160-181, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:marecl:v:19:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1057_mel.2015.26
    DOI: 10.1057/mel.2015.26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/mel.2015.26
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/mel.2015.26?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter R. Hartley, 2015. "The Future of Long-term LNG Contracts," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    2. Kumar, Satish & Kwon, Hyouk-Tae & Choi, Kwang-Ho & Hyun Cho, Jae & Lim, Wonsub & Moon, Il, 2011. "Current status and future projections of LNG demand and supplies: A global prospective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4097-4104, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Septianto, Felix & Northey, Gavin & Dolan, Rebecca, 2019. "The effects of political ideology and message framing on counterfeiting: The mediating role of emotions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 206-214.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liang, Ying & Cai, Lei & Guan, Yanwen & Liu, Wenbin & Xiang, Yanlei & Li, Juan & He, Tianzhi, 2020. "Numerical study on an original oxy-fuel combustion power plant with efficient utilization of flue gas waste heat," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Zhaoming Yang & Qi Xiang & Yuxuan He & Shiliang Peng & Michael Havbro Faber & Enrico Zio & Lili Zuo & Huai Su & Jinjun Zhang, 2023. "Resilience of Natural Gas Pipeline System: A Review and Outlook," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-19, August.
    3. Sangseop Lim & Chang-hee Lee & Won-Ju Lee & Junghwan Choi & Dongho Jung & Younghun Jeon, 2022. "Valuation of the Extension Option in Time Charter Contracts in the LNG Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-14, September.
    4. Zwickl-Bernhard, Sebastian & Neumann, Anne, 2024. "Modeling Europe’s role in the global LNG market 2040: Balancing decarbonization goals, energy security, and geopolitical tensions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    5. Hendalianpour, Ayad & Liu, Peide & Amirghodsi, Sirous & Hamzehlou, Mohammad, 2022. "Designing a System Dynamics model to simulate criteria affecting oil and gas development contracts," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    6. Qi, Meng & Park, Jinwoo & Kim, Jeongdong & Lee, Inkyu & Moon, Il, 2020. "Advanced integration of LNG regasification power plant with liquid air energy storage: Enhancements in flexibility, safety, and power generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    7. Mofid, Hossein & Jazayeri-Rad, Hooshang & Shahbazian, Mehdi & Fetanat, Abdolvahhab, 2019. "Enhancing the performance of a parallel nitrogen expansion liquefaction process (NELP) using the multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 286-303.
    8. Nikhalat-Jahromi, Hamed & Bell, Michael G.H. & Fontes, Dalila B.M.M. & Cochrane, Robert A. & Angeloudis, Panagiotis, 2016. "Spot sale of uncommitted LNG from Middle East: Japan or the UK?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 717-725.
    9. Nur Izzah Hamna A. Aziz & Marlia M. Hanafiah & Shabbir H. Gheewala & Haikal Ismail, 2020. "Bioenergy for a Cleaner Future: A Case Study of Sustainable Biogas Supply Chain in the Malaysian Energy Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-24, April.
    10. Fernández, Ignacio Arias & Gómez, Manuel Romero & Gómez, Javier Romero & Insua, Álvaro Baaliña, 2017. "Review of propulsion systems on LNG carriers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1395-1411.
    11. Kumar, Satish & Kwon, Hyouk-Tae & Choi, Kwang-Ho & Lim, Wonsub & Cho, Jae Hyun & Tak, Kyungjae & Moon, Il, 2011. "LNG: An eco-friendly cryogenic fuel for sustainable development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(12), pages 4264-4273.
    12. Guo, Yingjian & Hawkes, Adam, 2019. "The impact of demand uncertainties and China-US natural gas tariff on global gas trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 205-217.
    13. Yan, Zhaojin & Yang, Guanghao & He, Rong & Yang, Hui & Ci, Hui, 2023. "“Ship-port-country” multi-dimensional research on the fine analysis of China's LNG trade," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    14. Chyong, C-K., 2019. "Challenges to the Future of European Single Market in Natural Gas," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1918, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    15. Calise, Francesco & de Notaristefani di Vastogirardi, Giulio & Dentice d'Accadia, Massimo & Vicidomini, Maria, 2018. "Simulation of polygeneration systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 290-337.
    16. Baba, Amina & Creti, Anna & Massol, Olivier, 2020. "What can be learned from the free destination option in the LNG imbroglio?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. Saghi Raeisdanaei & Vahid Pirouzfar & Chia-Hung Su, 2022. "Technical and economic assessment of processes for the LNG production in cycles with expander and refrigeration," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(11), pages 13407-13425, November.
    18. Sermsuk, Maytungkorn & Sukjai, Yanin & Wiboonrat, Montri & Kiatkittipong, Kunlanan, 2022. "Feasibility study of a combined system of electricity generation and cooling from liquefied natural gas to reduce the electricity cost of data centres," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    19. Chi-Kong Chyong, 2015. "Markets and long-term contracts: The case of Russian gas supplies to Europe," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1542, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    20. Michel‐Alexandre Cardin & Mehdi Ranjbar‐Bourani & Richard de Neufville, 2015. "Improving the Lifecycle Performance of Engineering Projects with Flexible Strategies: Example of On‐Shore LNG Production Design," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), pages 253-268, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:marecl:v:19:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1057_mel.2015.26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.