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Shocks and Currents: Monetary Policy and Israel’s Foreign Exchange Market

Author

Listed:
  • Itamar Caspi

    (Bank of Israel)

  • Amit Friedman

    (Bank of Israel)

  • Sigal Ribon

    (Bank of Israel)

Abstract

This paper explores the interplay between domestic and global monetary policies, capital flows, and exchange rate dynamics in Israel. Using a novel dataset of daily sectoral FX transactions, we examine the transmission of monetary shocks identified from yield curve shifts around central bank announcements. Local projections reveal that foreign financial investors respond strongly and symmetrically to domestic and foreign shocks, which suggests that they react to the interest rate differential. Domestic institutional investors counteract this by rebalancing their portfolios. In particular, the impact of US monetary shocks on Israeli institutional investors and on the exchange rate depends on the shocks’ correlation with the S&P 500 stock index. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the mechanisms through which domestic and global monetary policies influence small open economies like Israel, and highlight the limited monetary autonomy of small open economies even under flexible exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Itamar Caspi & Amit Friedman & Sigal Ribon, 2024. "Shocks and Currents: Monetary Policy and Israel’s Foreign Exchange Market," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(3), pages 454-481, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:compes:v:66:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1057_s41294-024-00236-y
    DOI: 10.1057/s41294-024-00236-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Inoue, Atsushi & Rossi, Barbara, 2019. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 419-447.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexander Rathke & Tobias Straumann & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2024. "Editorial for the Special Issue of Comparative Economic Studies: 50 Years After the End of Bretton Woods—The Experiences of Small Open Economies," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(3), pages 389-393, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Exchange rate; Capital flows; Yield curve; Small open economy; High-frequency identification; Israel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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