IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pab/rmcpee/v31y2021i1p198-225.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock market multiples in the valuation of unlisted agrifood companies. || Múltiplos de mercado en la valoración de empresas agroalimentarias no cotizadas

Author

Listed:
  • Vidal García, Raúl

    (Departamento de Gestión de Empresas. Universitat Rovira i Virgili)

  • Ribal Sanchis, Javier

    (Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales. Universitat Politécnica de Valencia)

  • Blasco Ruiz, Ana

    (Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales. Universitat Politécnica de Valencia)

Abstract

Stock price determination is one of the main issues involved in the acquisition of companies. The transparency and high volume of the stock market make it possible to ascertain valuation multiples. In the case of privately-held agrifood companies, valuation multiples are scarce and barely representative. This paper focuses on answering whether listed stock valuation multiples of the agrifood industry can be useful for the purposes of valuing unlisted small and medium-sized companies. A study into Spanish unlisted agribusinesses is designed for several samples and accounting years. By means of a discounted cash flow model combined with bootstrap techniques, the empirical distribution of the unlisted multiples is obtained for three growth hypotheses. The results show that the stock market P/E should not be used in the valuation process of unlisted agrifood companies, whereas the stock market EV/EBITDA may be used in the valuation process of unlisted small and medium-sized agrifood companies that consistently obtain positive cash flows.|| La determinación del precio de las acciones es uno de los principales problemas en la adquisición de compañías. La transparencia y el alto volumen de la bolsa de valores permiten determinar múltiplos de valoración. En el caso de las empresas agroalimentarias privadas, los múltiplos de valoración son escasos y poco representativos. Este trabajo se centra en responder si los múltiplos de valor de las empresas de la industria agroalimentaria que cotizan en bolsa pueden ser útiles para valorar Pymes. Un estudio sobre compañías españolas agroalimentarias no cotizadas ha sido diseñado para varias muestras y años base. Por medio de un modelo de flujos de caja descontados, combinado con técnicas bootstrap, se ha obtenido una distribución empírica de los múltiplos de empresas no cotizadas para tres hipótesis de crecimiento. Los resultados muestran que el múltiplo EV/EBITDA bursátil puede utilizarse en el proceso de valoración de Pymes agroalimentarias no cotizadas que obtienen sistemáticamente flujos de caja positivos.

Suggested Citation

  • Vidal García, Raúl & Ribal Sanchis, Javier & Blasco Ruiz, Ana, 2021. "Stock market multiples in the valuation of unlisted agrifood companies. || Múltiplos de mercado en la valoración de empresas agroalimentarias no cotizadas," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 31(1), pages 198-225, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:31:y:2021:i:1:p:198-225
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.3740
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.upo.es/revistas/index.php/RevMetCuant/article/view/3740/5061
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.upo.es/revistas/index.php/RevMetCuant/article/view/3740
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/https://doi.org/10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.3740?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen H. Penman, 2001. "On Comparing Cash Flow and Accrual Accounting Models for Use in Equity Valuation: A Response to Lundholm and O'Keefe (CAR, Summer 2001)," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 681-692, December.
    2. Wolfgang Breuer & Daniel Fuchs & Klaus Mark, 2014. "Estimating cost of capital in firm valuations with arithmetic or geometric mean - or better use the Cooper estimator?," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 568-594, June.
    3. Philip McCann & Raquel Ortega-Argilés, 2016. "Smart specialisation, entrepreneurship and SMEs: issues and challenges for a results-oriented EU regional policy," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 537-552, April.
    4. Franck Bancel & Usha R. Mittoo, 2014. "The Gap between the Theory and Practice of Corporate Valuation: Survey of European Experts[We are ext]," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 26(4), pages 106-117, December.
    5. Officer, Micah S., 2007. "The price of corporate liquidity: Acquisition discounts for unlisted targets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 571-598, March.
    6. Cheng, C S Agnes & McNamara, Ray, 2000. "The Valuation Accuracy of the Price-Earnings and Price-Book Benchmark Valuation Methods," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 349-370, December.
    7. Edward McLaney & John Pointon & Melanie Thomas & Jon Tucker, 2004. "Practitioners' perspectives on the UK cost of capital," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 123-138.
    8. Declerck, Francis, 2016. "Mergers & Acquisitions in the Food Business: How did the 2002 and 2008/2009 Economic Crises Impact Corporate Valuation?," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 7(3), pages 1-13, June.
    9. Dirk van der Krogt & Jerker Nilsson & Viggo Høst, 2007. "The impact of cooperatives' risk aversion and equity capital constraints on their inter-firm consolidation and collaboration strategies-with an empirical study of the European dairy industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 453-472.
    10. Kaplan, Steven N & Ruback, Richard S, 1995. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1059-1093, September.
    11. Shahed Imam & Richard Barker & Colin Clubb, 2008. "The Use of Valuation Models by UK Investment Analysts," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 503-535.
    12. Hamada, Robert S, 1972. "The Effect of the Firm's Capital Structure on the Systematic Risk of Common Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 435-452, May.
    13. Stefano Cascino & Mark Clatworthy & Beatriz García Osma & Joachim Gassen & Shahed Imam & Thomas Jeanjean, 2014. "Who Uses Financial Reports and for What Purpose? Evidence from Capital Providers," Accounting in Europe, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 185-209, December.
    14. John Koeplin & Atulya Sarin & Alan C. Shapiro, 2000. "The Private Company Discount," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 12(4), pages 94-101, January.
    15. Utz Weitzel & Killian J. McCarthy, 2011. "Theory and evidence on mergers and acquisitions by small and medium enterprises," International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Innovation Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 14(2/3), pages 248-275.
    16. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2002. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 135-172, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vidal-Garcia Raül & Ribal Javier, 2019. "Terminal Value in SMEs: Testing the Multiple EV/EBITDA Approach," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, February.
    2. Aharon, David Y. & Gavious, Ilanit & Yosef, Rami, 2010. "Stock market bubble effects on mergers and acquisitions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 456-470, November.
    3. Elnathan, Dan & Gavious, Ilanit & Hauser, Shmuel, 2010. "An analysis of private versus public firm valuations and the contribution of financial experts," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 387-412, December.
    4. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    5. Yanfu Li, 2019. "Improving Analyst Target Price Performance Through Enhanced Valuation Techniques," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12.
    6. Waleed Khalid & Kashif Ur Rehman & Muhammad Kashif, 2019. "The Impact of Merger and Acquisition Firms on Stock Market Bubble," Global Regional Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(1), pages 335-342, March.
    7. Frank Asche & Bård Misund, 2016. "Who’s a major? A novel approach to peer group selection: Empirical evidence from oil and gas companies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264538-126, December.
    8. Dittmann, Ingolf & Weiner, Christian, 2005. "Selecting comparables for the valuation of European firms," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-002, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    9. Marcel Ausloos, 2020. "Valuation Models Applied to Value-Based Management—Application to the Case of UK Companies with Problems," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Gavious, Ilanit & Parmet, Yisrael, 2010. "Do private firm valuations contain incremental information content over routine analyst valuations?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 223-234, June.
    11. Emanuel Bagna & Enrico Cotta Ramusino, 2016. "Accounting-Based Valuation Using Market Multiples: The Case Of Cyclical Companies," DEM Working Papers Series 126, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    12. Yuan Yin & Ken Peasnell & Herbert G. Hunt, 2018. "How do sell-side analysts obtain price-earnings multiples to value firms?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 108-135, January.
    13. Madura, Jeff & Susnjara, Jurica, 2013. "The appeal of private targets in international acquisitions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 198-222.
    14. Gurmeet S. Bhabra & Harjeet S. Bhabra & Ashrafee T. Hossain, 2021. "Sarbanes‐Oxley Act and the acquisition of private targets," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(S1), pages 1457-1487, April.
    15. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    16. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-002 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Olta Milova & Arjeta Vokshi, 2023. "SWOT Analysis of Diaspora Engagement as An Influencing Factor in Albanian Economy," European Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 8, ejms_v8_i.
    18. Yanfu Li, 2021. "Improving The Accuracy Of Estimated Intrinsic Value Through Industry-Specific Valuation Models," Review of Business and Finance Studies, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 12(1), pages 79-89.
    19. Andreea Vasiliu & Neculai Tabara, 2013. "Methods for Determining the Degree of Underestimation or Overrating of Shares Using PER Analysis," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 9(3), pages 84-99, June.
    20. Budi Frensidy & Ryan Joshua Pelealu & Robiyanto Robiyanto, 2020. "Analysis of Equity Valuation Models and Target Price Accuracy: An Evidence From Analyst Reports in Indonesia," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, October.
    21. Wen-Shiung Lee, 2013. "Merger and acquisition evaluation and decision making model," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(15-16), pages 1473-1494, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    SMEs; bootstrap; food industry; valuation multiples; Pyme; bootstrap; industria agroalimentaria; múltiplos de valoración.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:31:y:2021:i:1:p:198-225. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Publicación Digital - UPO (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dmupoes.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.