IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ibf/gjbres/v13y2019i2p1-12.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Improving Analyst Target Price Performance Through Enhanced Valuation Techniques

Author

Listed:
  • Yanfu Li

Abstract

This study focuses on the target price issue, it aims to improve the reliability of target price through the enhanced valuation techniques. Firstly, this study improves the target price reliability by enhancing the discount rate estimation method. Secondly, the concept of industry-specific combined valuation approach has been introduced by this study, this new concept not only takes advantage of the benefit from the combination of absolute and relative model, but also consistent with the distinguishing features of different industries. Thirdly, this study presents an enhanced target price setting method to improve the target price reliability, this method provides effective solutions to the common but unsolved question about how to combine a range of value estimates. Finally, a reliability testing method has been introduced by this study to measure the performance of value estimate and target price

Suggested Citation

  • Yanfu Li, 2019. "Improving Analyst Target Price Performance Through Enhanced Valuation Techniques," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12.
  • Handle: RePEc:ibf:gjbres:v:13:y:2019:i:2:p:1-12
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.theibfr2.com/RePEc/ibf/gjbres/gjbr-v13n2-2019/GJBR-V13N2-2019-1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Imam, Shahed & Chan, Jacky & Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali, 2013. "Equity valuation models and target price accuracy in Europe: Evidence from equity reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 9-19.
    2. Kenton Yee, 2008. "A Bayesian framework for combining valuation estimates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 339-354, April.
    3. Asquith, Paul & Mikhail, Michael B. & Au, Andrea S., 2005. "Information content of equity analyst reports," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 245-282, February.
    4. Sanjeev Bhojraj & Charles M. C. Lee, 2002. "Who Is My Peer? A Valuation‐Based Approach to the Selection of Comparable Firms," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 407-439, May.
    5. Shahed Imam & Richard Barker & Colin Clubb, 2008. "The Use of Valuation Models by UK Investment Analysts," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 503-535.
    6. Alford, Aw, 1992. "The Effect Of The Set Of Comparable Firms On The Accuracy Of The Price Earnings Valuation Method," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 94-108.
    7. Kaplan, Steven N & Ruback, Richard S, 1995. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1059-1093, September.
    8. Stefano Bonini & Laura Zanetti & Roberto Bianchini & Antonio Salvi, 2010. "Target Price Accuracy in Equity Research," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(9‐10), pages 1177-1217, November.
    9. Cristi A. Gleason & W. Bruce Johnson & Haidan Li, 2013. "Valuation Model Use and the Price Target Performance of Sell†Side Equity Analysts," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 80-115, March.
    10. Cheng, C S Agnes & McNamara, Ray, 2000. "The Valuation Accuracy of the Price-Earnings and Price-Book Benchmark Valuation Methods," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 349-370, December.
    11. repec:bla:jfinan:v:58:y:2003:i:5:p:1933-1968 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Lennart Hoogerheide & Richard Kleijn & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. Van Dijk & Marno Verbeek, 2010. "Forecast accuracy and economic gains from Bayesian model averaging using time-varying weights," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 251-269.
    13. Ball, Ray & Kothari, S. P. & Robin, Ashok, 2000. "Corrigendum to "The effect of international institutional factors on properties of accounting earnings"; [Journal of Accounting and Economics 29 (2000) 1-51]," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 241-241, October.
    14. Ali, A & Hwang, LS, 2000. "Country-specific factors related to financial reporting and the value relevance of accounting data," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 1-21.
    15. Efthimios Demirakos & Norman Strong & Martin Walker, 2010. "Does Valuation Model Choice Affect Target Price Accuracy?," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 35-72.
    16. Ball, Ray & Kothari, S. P. & Robin, Ashok, 2000. "The effect of international institutional factors on properties of accounting earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 1-51, February.
    17. Yong Keun Yoo, 2006. "The valuation accuracy of equity valuation using a combination of multiples," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 108-123, May.
    18. Francis, J & Olsson, P & Oswald, DR, 2000. "Comparing the accuracy and explainability of dividend, free cash flow, and abnormal earnings equity value estimates," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 45-70.
    19. Jing Liu & Doron Nissim & Jacob Thomas, 2002. "Equity Valuation Using Multiples," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 135-172, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Imam, Shahed & Chan, Jacky & Shah, Syed Zulfiqar Ali, 2013. "Equity valuation models and target price accuracy in Europe: Evidence from equity reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 9-19.
    2. Karel Janda, 2019. "Earnings Stability and Peer Company Selection for Multiple Based Indirect Valuation," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(1), pages 37-75, February.
    3. Frank Asche & Bård Misund, 2016. "Who’s a major? A novel approach to peer group selection: Empirical evidence from oil and gas companies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1264538-126, December.
    4. Olbert, Lars, 2024. "Identifying gaps between research results and education," Journal of Accounting Education, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    6. Chlomou, Grigoria & Demirakos, Efthimios, 2020. "How do financial analysts implement the Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation framework?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Abdul Rasheed & Muhammad Khalid Sohail & Shahab-Ud Din & Muhammad Ijaz, 2018. "How Do Investment Banks Price Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of Emerging Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Peter Roosenboom, 2007. "How Do Underwriters Value Initial Public Offerings? An Empirical Analysis of the French IPO Market," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
    9. Budi Frensidy & Ryan Joshua Pelealu & Robiyanto Robiyanto, 2020. "Analysis of Equity Valuation Models and Target Price Accuracy: An Evidence From Analyst Reports in Indonesia," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, October.
    10. Yanfu Li, 2021. "Improving The Accuracy Of Estimated Intrinsic Value Through Industry-Specific Valuation Models," Review of Business and Finance Studies, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 12(1), pages 79-89.
    11. WS Nel, 2015. "An Optimal Peer Group Selection Strategy for Multiples-Based Modelling in the South African Equity Market," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 7(3), pages 30-46.
    12. Anesten, Sebastian & Möller, Niclas & Skogsvik, Kenth, 2015. "The Accuracy of Parsimonious Equity Valuation Models - Empirical tests of the Dividend Discount, Residual Income and Abnormal Earnings Growth model," SSE Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2015:3, Stockholm School of Economics.
    13. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.
    14. Samie Ahmed Sayed, 2015. "Should Analysts Go by the Book? Valuation Models and Target Price Accuracy in an Emerging Market," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(5), pages 832-844, October.
    15. Forte, Gianfranco & Gianfrate, Gianfranco & Rossi, Emanuele, 2020. "Does relative valuation work for banks?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    16. José Couto & Paula Brito & António Cerqueira, 2017. "The Method of Market Multiples on the Valuation of Companies: A Multivariate Approach," FEP Working Papers 586, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    17. Dittmann, I. & Maug, E.G., 2006. "Valuation Biases, Error Measures, and the Conglomerate Discount," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2006-011-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    18. Soenke Sievers & Jan Klobucnik, 2011. "Valuing high technology growth firms," Cologne Graduate School Working Paper Series 02-07, Cologne Graduate School in Management, Economics and Social Sciences.
    19. Aharon, David Y. & Gavious, Ilanit & Yosef, Rami, 2010. "Stock market bubble effects on mergers and acquisitions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 456-470, November.
    20. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-002 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Tuan Ho & Ruby Brownen‐Trinh & Fangming Xu, 2021. "The information content of target price forecasts: Evidence from mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(5-6), pages 1134-1171, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Target Price Performance; Enhanced Valuation Methods;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ibf:gjbres:v:13:y:2019:i:2:p:1-12. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mercedes Jalbert (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.