IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ovi/oviste/vxxiiy2022i1p963-968.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of the Global Pandemic Crisis on East and Central EU Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mitica Pepi

    (“Ovidius†University of Constanta, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Romania)

Abstract

Our research is based on an examination of capital market dynamics in four European countries, namely Poland, Romania, Hungary, and the Czech Republic, during the pandemic crisis. The paper is divided into two parts and examines the relationship between macro-financial variables and the major stock market indices of Western European (UK, Germany, and Austria) and Eastern European markets. The analysis is based on the use of the autoregressive vector model (VAR), which shows that during the global pandemic crisis, macroeconomic factors had a significant impact on the financial performance of Eastern European countries' financial markets. In the second part, the correlation of the yields of the stock indices from the countries of Western and Eastern European countries is analyzed, using the multivariate GARCH model.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitica Pepi, 2022. "The Impact of the Global Pandemic Crisis on East and Central EU Stock Markets," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 963-968, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xxii:y:2022:i:1:p:963-968
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2022-2/Section%205/26.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C.M. & Rombouts, J.V.K., 2007. "Multivariate mixed normal conditional heteroskedasticity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3551-3566, April.
    2. Nektarios Aslanidis & Christos S. Savva, 2011. "Are There Still Portfolio Diversification Benefits In Eastern Europe? Aggregate Versus Sectoral Stock Market Data," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(6), pages 1323-1352, December.
    3. de Goeij, Peter & Marquering, Wessel, 2009. "Stock and bond market interactions with level and asymmetry dynamics: An out-of-sample application," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 318-329, March.
    4. Guidi, Francesco & Gupta, Rakesh, 2010. "Cointegration and conditional correlations among German and Eastern Europe equity markets," MPRA Paper 21732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Valentina Corradi & Walter Distaso & Antonio Mele, 2012. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Volatility and Volatility Risk-Premiums," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 12-18, Swiss Finance Institute.
    6. Balázs Égert & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Time-varying synchronization of European stock markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 393-407, April.
    7. Marek Kobialka & Hanna K. Koivulehto, 2011. "International cross-listings on CEE-stock exchanges," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(1), pages 73-90.
    8. Arturo Lorenzo Valdés & Rocío Durán Vázquez & Leticia Armenta Fraire, 2012. "Conditional Correlation Between Oil and Stock Market Returns: The Case of Mexico," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 7(1), pages 49-63, Enero-Jun.
    9. Renatas Kizys & Christian Pierdzioch, 2011. "The Financial Crisis and the Stock Markets of the CEE Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(2), pages 153-172, June.
    10. David Büttner & Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2012. "The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 19-44, February.
    11. Arturo Lorenzo Valdés & Rocío Durán Vázquez & Leticia Armenta Fraire, 2012. "Conditional Correlation Between Oil and Stock Market Returns: The Case of Mexico," Remef - The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance, Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas. Remef, October.
    12. de Goeij, P. C. & Marquering, W., 2009. "Stock and bond market interactions with level and asymmetry dynamics : An out-of-sample application," Other publications TiSEM fa1d33b9-7e68-4e15-b211-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Alexandru Todea & Dorina Lazar, 2012. "Global Crisis and Relative Efficiency: Empirical Evidence from Central and Eastern European Stock Markets," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 4(1), pages 045-053, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anghelache, Gabriela Victoria & Kralik, Lorand Istvan & Acatrinei, Marius & Pete, Stefan, 2014. "Influence of the EU Accession Process and the Global Crisis on the CEE Stock Markets: A Multivariate Correlation Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 35-52, June.
    2. Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2022. "High‐frequency data and stock–bond investing," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1623-1638, December.
    3. Wu, Chih-Chiang & Chiu, Junmao, 2017. "Economic evaluation of asymmetric and price range information in gold and general financial markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 53-68.
    4. Krenar AVDULAJ & Jozef BARUNIK, 2013. "Can We Still Benefit from International Diversification? The Case of the Czech and German Stock Markets," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 425-442, November.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6804 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar, 2021. "Futures market and the contagion effect of COVID-19 syndrome," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    7. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2018. "Intraday effect of news on emerging European forex markets: An event study analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 597-615.
    8. Chuang, Chung-Chu & Wang, Yi-Hsien & Yeh, Tsai-Jung & Chuang, Shuo-Li, 2014. "Backtesting VaR in consideration of the higher moments of the distribution for minimum-variance hedging portfolios," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 15-19.
    9. Kaczmarek, Tomasz & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Grobelny, Przemysław & Perez, Katarzyna, 2022. "False Safe Haven Assets: Evidence From the Target Volatility Strategy Based on Recurrent Neural Network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Kralik Lóránd István, 2018. "Conditional Correlation on CEE Stock Markets," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 130-136, December.
    11. Miralles-Quirós, José Luis & Miralles-Quirós, María del Mar, 2017. "The Copula ADCC-GARCH model can help PIIGS to fly," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-12.
    12. Wu, Chih-Chiang & Liang, Shin-Shun, 2011. "The economic value of range-based covariance between stock and bond returns with dynamic copulas," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 711-727, September.
    13. María del Mar Miralles-Quirós & José Luis Miralles-Quirós, 2017. "Improving Diversification Opportunities for Socially Responsible Investors," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 339-351, January.
    14. Anandadeep Mandal & Sunil S. Poshakwale & Gabriel J. Power, 2021. "Do investors gain from forecasting the asymmetric return co‐movements of financial and real assets?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3246-3268, July.
    15. Houda Rharrabti Zaid, 2015. "Transmission du stress financier de la zone euro aux Pays de l’Europe Centrale et Orientale," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-37, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    16. Christian Conrad & Karin Loch, 2015. "Anticipating Long‐Term Stock Market Volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 1090-1114, November.
    17. Zhenxi Chen & Weihong Huang & Huanhuan Zheng, 2018. "Estimating heterogeneous agents behavior in a two-market financial system," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(3), pages 491-510, October.
    18. GOK, Ibrahim Yasar & TOPUZ, Sefa, 2016. "The Impact Of The Domestic And Foreign Macroeconomic News Announcements On The Turkish Stock Market," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 20(3), pages 95-107.
    19. Olga Kuznetsova, 2016. "The Value of Public Information in a Two-Region Model," HSE Working papers WP BRP 126/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    20. Billio, M. & Donadelli, M. & Paradiso, A. & Riedel, M., 2017. "Which market integration measure?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 150-174.
    21. Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali & Hmida, Salma, 2017. "A Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Eurozone Stock Markets," MPRA Paper 83718, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock indices; VAR model; conditional correlation; capital markets; Euro zone;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xxii:y:2022:i:1:p:963-968. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gheorghiu Gabriela (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feoviro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.