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Threshold Analysis of Fiscal Deficits with Respect to Monetary Growth: Evidence from Nigeria

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  • Sanusi Kazeem Abimbola

    (School of Economics, Accounting & IT, North West University)

Abstract

This paper aims at determining the threshold level of fiscal deficits with regards to monetary growth. Data for the study are obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical publication between 1986 and 2016. The empirical findings suggest that optimal level of fiscal deficits with regards to monetary growth is at the point where the fiscal deficits, as a percentage of GDP is 31. The major conclusion from the study is that continuous accumulation of deficits in the economy by the government should be avoided. This can be done by strengthen fiscal consolidaton and provision of viable institutional fiscal rules so as not reach the threshold level.

Suggested Citation

  • Sanusi Kazeem Abimbola, 2017. "Threshold Analysis of Fiscal Deficits with Respect to Monetary Growth: Evidence from Nigeria," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 639-643, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xvii:y:2017:i:2:p:639-643
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Thomas J. Sargent & Neil Wallace, 1984. "Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Brian Griffiths & Geoffrey E. Wood (ed.), Monetarism in the United Kingdom, pages 15-41, Palgrave Macmillan.
    2. Adam, Christopher S. & Bevan, David L., 2005. "Fiscal deficits and growth in developing countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(4), pages 571-597, April.
    3. By Mohsin S. Khan & Abdelhak S. Senhadji, 2001. "Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 48(1), pages 1-1.
    4. Carlos De Resende, 2007. "Cross-Country Estimates of the Degree of Fiscal Dominance and Central Bank Independence," Staff Working Papers 07-36, Bank of Canada.
    5. Xiong, Weibo, 2012. "Measuring the monetary policy stance of the People's bank of china: An ordered probit analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 512-533.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Threshold; Deficits; Monetary Base;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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