IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ovi/oviste/vxviiy2017i1p578-583.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monetary Policy and Inflation: Is there a Neo- Fisher Effect? Evidence from Inflation Targeting Countries in Central and Eastern Europe

Author

Listed:
  • PleÈ™cău Ioana

    (“Alexandru Ioan Cuza†University of Iasi)

Abstract

In this study we empirically investigate the influence of the low interest rate environmentadopted by inflation targeting countries from Central and Eastern Europe as a rescue measureafter the outbreak of the financial crisis. Moreover, we focus on examining the existence of a NeoFishereffect that may explain the positive relation between interest rates and inflation, withcausality from interest towards inflation rate. We employ a Vector Autoregressive model, togetherwith an impulse response analysis and a variance decomposition technique, to capture theresponse of economic growth and inflation to shocks to the monetary policy. Our main results pointto a negative relation between policy rates and economic growth, as predicted by the economicliterature. However, results show a significant positive relation between interest rates andinflation, meaning that negative shocks to interest rates lead to lower inflation. Also, we find thatthe response of inflation and economic growth is the same, regardless of the crisis or non-crisisperiod.

Suggested Citation

  • PleÈ™cău Ioana, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Inflation: Is there a Neo- Fisher Effect? Evidence from Inflation Targeting Countries in Central and Eastern Europe," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 578-583, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xvii:y:2017:i:1:p:578-583
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/ENG/2017/Section-V/34.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Papadamou, Stephanos & Sidiropoulos, Moïse & Spyromitros, Eleftherios, 2015. "Central bank transparency and the interest rate channel: Evidence from emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 167-174.
    2. Stephen D. Williamson, 2016. "Neo-Fisherism: A Radical Idea, or the Most Obvious Solution to the Low-Inflation Problem?," The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue July.
    3. Anari, Ali & Kolari, James, 2016. "Dynamics of interest and inflation rates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 129-144.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bias Peter V. & Hall Joshua D., 2021. "A Test of Neo-Fisherism: 1964–2019," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 221-251, January.
    2. Sevda Yapraklı, 2022. "The Validity of The Neo-Fisher Effect in The Period of Explicit Inflation Targeting: An Econometric Analysis on Turkey," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(37), pages 85-105, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura & Vicente, José Valentim Machado, 2017. "Do the central bank actions reduce interest rate volatility?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 129-137.
    3. Chrysanthopoulou, Xakousti & Tsioutsios, Alexandros & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2023. "Is central bank news good news for loan interest rates volatility?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    4. Md. Shabbir Alam & Mustafa Raza Rabbani & Mohammad Rumzi Tausif & Joji Abey, 2021. "Banks’ Performance and Economic Growth in India: A Panel Cointegration Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, March.
    5. Teti̇k, Metin, 2020. "Testing of leader-follower interaction between fed and emerging countries’ central banks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    6. Meixing Dai & Moïse Sidiropoulos, 2017. "How multiplicative uncertainty affects the tradeoff between information disclosure and stabilisation policy?," Working Papers of BETA 2017-15, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    7. Lukmanova, Elizaveta & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2023. "Evidence on monetary transmission and the role of imperfect information: Interest rate versus inflation target shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Klára Baková, 2018. "The Financial Accelerator in Europe after the Financial Crisis," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 4(2), pages 143-155.
    9. André, Marine Charlotte & Dai, Meixing, 2017. "Is central bank conservatism desirable under learning?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 281-296.
    10. Andolfatto, David & Martin, Fernando M., 2018. "Monetary policy and liquid government debt," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 183-199.
    11. Anari, Ali & Kolari, James, 2019. "The Fisher puzzle, real rate anomaly, and Wicksell effect," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 128-148.
    12. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Diogo Martins Esteves, 2018. "Monetary authority's transparency and income inequality," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(4), pages 202-227, November.
    13. Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2024. "The shape of the Treasury yield curve and commodity prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound and negative interest rates: Choices for monetary policy in the UK," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 200-229.
    15. Ioannis N. Kallianiotis, 2021. "Monetary Policy Rules vs Discretion: Social Cost and Benefits," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(5), pages 1-6.
    16. Alin-Marius ANDRIEŞ & Ioana PLEŞCĂU, 2020. "The Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy: Do Macroprudential Regulation and Central Bank Independence Influence the Transmission of Interest Rates?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-30, September.
    17. Papadamou, Stephanos & Sidiropoulos, Moïse & Spyromitros, Eleftherios, 2017. "Does central bank independence affect stock market volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 855-864.
    18. Chen, W.D., 2020. "Liquidity, covered interest rate parity, and zero lower bound in Japan’s foreign exchange markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 334-349.
    19. Hiroyuki Taguchi & Ni Lar, 2016. "The Resource Curse Hypothesis Revisited: Evidence from Asian Economies," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 31-42.
    20. Makrychoriti, Panagiota & Pasiouras, Fotios, 2021. "National culture and central bank transparency: Cross-country evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    interest rates; inflation; Neo-Fisher effect; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xvii:y:2017:i:1:p:578-583. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gheorghiu Gabriela (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feoviro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.