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Return Seasonality in Stocks and Their Underlying Assets: Tax-Loss Selling versus Information Explanations

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  • Brauer, Greggory A
  • Chang, Eric C

Abstract

Results of tests contrasting tax-loss selling with intertemporal information variation as explanations of the January seasonal in stock returns are reported. Closed-end fund shares display the typical size-related January seasonal while their net asset values do not. Interpreting the net asset value return as a proxy for information about underlying assets, this result indicates information variation is not a necessary condition for the January effect in stocks. The share returns at the turn of the year are negatively related to their mean preceding year returns and positively related to the standard deviations of their preceding year returns. These results are consistent with tax-loss selling. Article published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies in its journal, The Review of Financial Studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Brauer, Greggory A & Chang, Eric C, 1990. "Return Seasonality in Stocks and Their Underlying Assets: Tax-Loss Selling versus Information Explanations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(2), pages 255-280.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:3:y:1990:i:2:p:255-80
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    Cited by:

    1. Khalid Al-Saad & Imad Moosa, 2005. "Seasonality in stock returns: evidence from an emerging market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 63-71.
    2. Severn, Alan K., 1998. "Closed-end funds and sentiment risk," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 103-119.
    3. Cox, Kevin C. & Lortie, Jason & Stewart, Steven A., 2017. "When to pray to the angels for funding: The seasonality of angel investing in new ventures," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 68-76.
    4. Lynch, Andrew & Puckett, Andy & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), 2014. "Institutions and the turn-of-the-year effect: Evidence from actual institutional trades," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 56-68.
    5. Qiwei Chen, 2013. "Risk and seasonal effects: international evidence," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 299-311, November.
    6. Talla Al-Deehani, 2006. "Seasonality as an unobservable component: the case of Kuwait stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 471-478.
    7. Day, Theodore E. & Li, George Z. & Xu, Yexiao, 2011. "Dividend distributions and closed-end fund discounts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 579-593, June.
    8. Korkie, Bob & Nakamura, Mansao & Turtle, Harry J., 2001. "A contingent claim analysis of closed-end fund premia," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 365-394.
    9. Fatta Bahadur K.C. Ph. D. & Nayan Krishna Joshi, 2005. "The Nepalese Stock Market: Efficient and Calendar Anomalies," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 17, pages 40-85, April.
    10. J. Hughen & Mark Wohar, 2006. "Identifying regime changes in closed-end fund discounts," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 30(1), pages 115-132, March.
    11. Easterday, Kathryn E. & Sen, Pradyot K., 2016. "Is the January effect rational? Insights from the accounting valuation model," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 168-185.
    12. Alan K. Severn, 1998. "Closed‐end funds and sentiment risk," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 103-119.
    13. Podgórski Błażej, 2018. "Impact of the January Effect on Return Rates in the Markets of the 2004 EU Enlargement," Journal of Management and Business Administration. Central Europe, Sciendo, vol. 26(1), pages 27-48, March.
    14. Pontiff, Jeffrey, 1995. "Closed-end fund premia and returns Implications for financial market equilibrium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 341-370, March.
    15. Ali F. Darrat & Bin Li & Benjamin Liu & Jen Je Su, 2011. "A Fresh Look at Seasonal Anomalies: An International Perspective," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 10(2), pages 93-116, August.
    16. Dilip Patro & Louis R. Piccotti & Yangru Wu, 2017. "Exploiting Closed-End Fund Discounts: A Systematic Examination Of Alphas," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 40(2), pages 223-248, June.
    17. Lahr, Henry & Kaserer, Christoph, 2009. "Net asset value discounts in listed private equity funds," CEFS Working Paper Series 2009-12, Technische Universität München (TUM), Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS).

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