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Investment Decision under Uncertainty: Choice—Theoretic Approaches

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  • J. Hirshleifer

Abstract

Introduction, 509. — I. Fisher's theory of investment decision: interpretation and reformulation, 510. — II. Choice-theoretic approaches to investment decision under uncertainty, 516. — III. The mean, variability approach, 518. — IV. The state-preference approach, 523. — V. Risk aversion and the uniqueness assumption, 531. — VI. Concluding remark, 534. — Appendix: Scaling of utility-of-income functions conditional upon state, 534.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Hirshleifer, 1965. "Investment Decision under Uncertainty: Choice—Theoretic Approaches," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 79(4), pages 509-536.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:79:y:1965:i:4:p:509-536.
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    1. Peter Brusov & Tatiana Filatova & Natali Orekhova, 2023. "Capital Structure Theory: Past, Present, Future," Springer Books, in: The Brusov–Filatova–Orekhova Theory of Capital Structure, chapter 0, pages 9-50, Springer.
    2. Hatem Masri, 2017. "A multiple stochastic goal programming approach for the agent portfolio selection problem," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 251(1), pages 179-192, April.
    3. R. Richard Geddes, 2020. "Comment on "A Fair Value Approach to Valuing Public Infrastructure Projects and the Risk Transfer in Public Private Partnerships"," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment, pages 403-407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Louis R. Eeckhoudt & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2021. "Probability Premium and Attitude Towards Probability," Papers 2105.00054, arXiv.org.
    5. Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Investment CAPM," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 545-603, September.
    6. Rasmussen, Svend, 2003. "Criteria for optimal production under uncertainty. The state-contingent approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 47(4), pages 1-30.
    7. Robert F. Nau, 2003. "A Generalization of Pratt-Arrow Measure to Nonexpected-Utility Preferences and Inseparable Probability and Utility," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(8), pages 1089-1104, August.
    8. Hans Ulrich Buhl & Björn Steven Häckel & Florian Probst & Josef Schosser, 2016. "On the Ex Ante Valuation of IT Service Investments," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 58(6), pages 415-432, December.
    9. Ido Kallir & Tamir Agmon, 2015. "Valuating the Value and Risk of International Start-up Ventures," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 203-217, April.
    10. Zappia, Carlo, 2021. "Leonard Savage, The Ellsberg Paradox, And The Debate On Subjective Probabilities: Evidence From The Archives," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 43(2), pages 169-192, June.
    11. Edgardo Bucciarelli & Nicola Mattoscio, 2021. "Reconsidering Herbert A. Simon’s Major Themes in Economics: Towards an Experimentally Grounded Capital Structure Theory Drawing from His Methodological Conjectures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(3), pages 799-823, March.
    12. Markus Rieger‐Fels, 2024. "Why do people buy insurance? A modern answer to an old question," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 89-114, April.
    13. Heiland, Inga, 2016. "Global Risk Sharing Through Trade in Goods and Assets: Theory and Evidence," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145821, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Marcin J. Piątkowski, 2020. "Results of SME Investment Activities: A Comparative Analysis among Enterprises Using and Not Using EU Subsidies in Poland," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, January.
    15. Schlee, Edward E. & Ali Khan, M., 2023. "Money-metrics in local welfare analysis: Pareto improvements and equity considerations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    16. Hou, Kewei & Mo, Haitao & Xue, Chen & Zhang, Lu, 2017. "The Economics of Value Investing," Working Paper Series 2017-16, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    17. Robert F. Nau, 2006. "Uncertainty Aversion with Second-Order Utilities and Probabilities," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 136-145, January.
    18. Yang-Ming Chang, 1992. "Noncompliance Behavior of Risk-Averse Firms Under the Minimum Wage Law," Public Finance Review, , vol. 20(3), pages 390-401, July.
    19. Heiman, Amir & Lowengart, Oded, 2008. "The effect of information about health hazards on demand for frequently purchased commodities," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 310-318.
    20. Jaramillo-López, Oscar Andrés & Forero-Laverde, Germán & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2020. "Evolución del supuesto de normalidad en finanzas: un análisis epistemológico del tipo Popper-Kuhn ¿Por qué la normalidad no cae en desuso? [Evolution of the assumption of normality in finance: a ep," MPRA Paper 101938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Bórawski, Piotr & Parzonko, Andrzej & Holden, Lisa, 2021. "Development Directions of Dairy Farms in Poland," Monographs: Applied Economics, AgEcon Search, number 317791, November.

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