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Intergenerational worklessness in the UK and the role of local labour markets

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  • Lindsey Macmillan

Abstract

Despite the increase in research on intergenerational income mobility over the past two decades, there has been little focus on measuring intergenerational worklessness. This research is the first to present estimates of the association in workless spells across generations for two new cohorts and to consider the important role of local labour market conditions in driving the intergenerational relationship. In recent cohorts, sons with workless fathers spend 11% more time out of work than sons with employed fathers from leaving full-time education to age 23. This estimate increases to 16% when focussing on later periods of adulthood (23–29). Intergenerational worklessness increases with unemployment: sons in low unemployment labour markets have similar workless experiences, regardless of their father’s employment status in childhood, whilst sons in high unemployment labour markets spend up to 30% more time out of work if their father is workless rather than employed in childhood.

Suggested Citation

  • Lindsey Macmillan, 2014. "Intergenerational worklessness in the UK and the role of local labour markets," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 66(3), pages 871-889.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:66:y:2014:i:3:p:871-889.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oep/gpt046
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    Cited by:

    1. Kristina Lindemann & Markus Gangl, 2018. "The Intergenerational Effects of Unemployment: How Parental Unemployment Affects Educational Transitions in Germany," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 971, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    2. Deborah A. Cobb-Clark & Anna Zhu, 2017. "Childhood homelessness and adult employment: the role of education, incarceration, and welfare receipt," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 30(3), pages 893-924, July.
    3. Paul Gregg & Lindsey Macmillan & Claudia Vittori, 2015. "Nonlinear Estimation of Lifetime Intergenerational Economic Mobility and the Role of Education," DoQSS Working Papers 15-03, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London.
    4. Watson, Dorothy & Maître, Bertrand & Russell, Helen, 2015. "Transitions into and out of Household Joblessness, 2004 to 2014: An Analysis of the Central Statistics Office (CSO) Quarterly National Household Survey (QNHS)," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number BKMNEXT296.
    5. Ubaldi, Michele & Picchio, Matteo, 2023. "Intergenerational Scars: The Impact of Parental Unemployment on Individual Health Later in Life," IZA Discussion Papers 16103, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Steffen Müller & Regina T. Riphahn & Caroline Schwientek, 2017. "Paternal unemployment during childhood: causal effects on youth worklessness and educational attainment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(1), pages 213-238.
    7. Grübl, Dominik & Lackner, Mario & Winter-Ebmer, Rudolf, 2020. "Intergenerational Transmission of Unemployment - Causal Evidence from Austria," IHS Working Paper Series 14, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    8. Jacqueline O’Reilly & Werner Eichhorst & András Gábos & Kari Hadjivassiliou & David Lain & Janine Leschke & Seamus McGuinness & Lucia Mýtna Kureková & Tiziana Nazio & Renate Ortlieb & Helen Russ, 2015. "Five Characteristics of Youth Unemployment in Europe," SAGE Open, , vol. 5(1), pages 21582440155, March.
    9. Paul Gregg & Lindsey Macmillan & Claudia Vittori, 2017. "Moving Towards Estimating Sons' Lifetime Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the UK," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(1), pages 79-100, February.
    10. Birca Alic, 2022. "Could The Neet Group Ensure An Increase In Employment In The Republic Of Moldova?," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 4, pages 58-67, August.
    11. Paul Gregg & Lindsey MacMillan & Claudia Vittori, 2014. "Moving Towards Estimating Lifetime Intergenerational Economic Mobility in the UK," The Centre for Market and Public Organisation 14/332, The Centre for Market and Public Organisation, University of Bristol, UK.
    12. Paul Gregg & Lindsey Macmillan & Claudia Vittori, 2019. "Intergenerational income mobility: access to top jobs, the low-pay no-pay cycle and the role of education in a common framework," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 32(2), pages 501-528, April.
    13. Paul Gregg & John Jerrim & Lindsey Macmillan & Nikki Shure, 2017. "Children in jobless households across Europe: Evidence on the association with medium- and long-term outcomes," DoQSS Working Papers 17-05, Quantitative Social Science - UCL Social Research Institute, University College London.
    14. Paul Gregg & Lindsey Macmillan, 2020. "Intergenerational joblessness across Europe: the role of labour markets, education and welfare generosity," CEPEO Working Paper Series 20-11, UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities, revised Jun 2020.
    15. repec:bri:cmpowp:13/332 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Jake Anders & Andy Dickerson & Paul Gregg & Lindsey Macmillan, 2020. "Unemployment: The Coming Storm, Who Gets Hit, Who Gets Hurt, and Policy Remedies," CEPEO Working Paper Series 20-12, UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities, revised Jul 2020.
    17. Silvan Has & Jake Anders & Nikki Shure, 2020. "Monetary and time investments in children's education: how do they differ in workless households?," CEPEO Working Paper Series 20-10, UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities, revised Apr 2020.
    18. Gabriella Berloffa & Eleonora Matteazzi & Alina Şandor & Paola Villa, 2019. "Mothers’ and children’s employment in Europe. A comparative analysis," DEM Working Papers 2019/14, Department of Economics and Management.
    19. Zwysen, Wouter, 2014. "A disadvantaged childhood matters more if local unemployment is high," ISER Working Paper Series 2014-43, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    20. Jake Anders & Lindsey Macmillan, 2020. "The unequal scarring effects of a recession on young people's life chances," CEPEO Briefing Note Series 6, UCL Centre for Education Policy and Equalising Opportunities, revised Jun 2020.

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