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Structural Volatility Impulse Response Function and Asymptotic Inference

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  • Xiaochun Liu

Abstract

This paper traces contemporaneous effects of independent shocks on predicted future volatilities through time. The shocks are identified through time-varying heteroscedasticity. I obtain the explicit functions of volatility impulse responses for a structural system of simultaneity. The asymptotic distributions of the derived functions are also studied in analytical forms for statistical inference. The potential of this new framework is empirically illustrated in a structural system of the U.S. commodity and stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaochun Liu, 2018. "Structural Volatility Impulse Response Function and Asymptotic Inference," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 316-339.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:16:y:2018:i:2:p:316-339.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbx029
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    Cited by:

    1. Fengler, Matthias & Polivka, Jeannine, 2022. "Structural Volatility Impulse Response Analysis," Economics Working Paper Series 2211, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Nov 2022.
    2. Liu, Xiaochun, 2021. "On fiscal and monetary policy-induced macroeconomic volatility dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    3. Harrison, Andre & Liu, Xiaochun & Stewart, Shamar L., 2023. "Structural sources of oil market volatility and correlation dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Harrison, Andre & Liu, Xiaochun & Stewart, Shamar L., 2024. "Are exchange rates absorbers of global oil shocks? A generalized structural analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    causality-in-volatility; commodity and stock market volatilities; contemporaneous effects; correlation structural break; structural dynamic conditional comovement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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