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Bombs and Babies: Exposure to Terrorism and Fertility Choices in Nigeria

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  • Valentina Rotondi
  • Michele Rocca

Abstract

The aim of terrorism all over the world is to have fear rule over people’s lives. The consequences of terrorist attacks, however, are substantially different across contexts. In this paper we study the association between exposure to Boko Haram’s attacks and households’ fertility choices in Nigeria. We hypothesise that households exposed to terrorism increase their number of children as a way to insure against future unexpected shocks. We test this hypothesis using geolocalised panel data linked to information on terrorist attacks that occurred in the region. Consistent with our hypothesis, terrorism is found to increase fertility (proxied by the number of surviving children per household): a one standard deviation increase in the number of fatalities increases the probability that a household hit by terrorism has a newborn by . This association is robust to the use of difference-in-differences and instrumental variables models—and therefore can be given a causal interpretation.

Suggested Citation

  • Valentina Rotondi & Michele Rocca, 2022. "Bombs and Babies: Exposure to Terrorism and Fertility Choices in Nigeria," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 31(5), pages 487-510.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:31:y:2022:i:5:p:487-510.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Adelaja, Adesoji & George, Justin, 2024. "Terrorism and land use in agriculture: A response to a replication attempt and additional insights on replication guidelines," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    terrorism; fertility; Boko Haram; Nigeria; JEL Classification: J13; I15; D19;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • D19 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Other

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