IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/oup/cambje/v22y1998i6p789-808.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Three and a Half Cycles of 'Mania, Panic, and [Asymmetric] Crash': East Asia and Latin America Compared

Author

Listed:
  • Palma, Gabriel

Abstract

This paper argues that, despite some significant differences, the 1982 debt crisis, the 1994 Mexican crisis, and the current 1997 East Asian crisis share the common characteristic that 'overlending' and 'overborrowing' are basically endogenous market failures of overliquid and underregulated financial markets--along the lines described by C. P. Kindleberger's Manias, Panics, and Crashes(1978) (although these crashes have tended to be 'asymmetric' as the largest international lenders have emerged relatively intact). The paper concludes with a discussion of Brazil's increasing vulnerability to a sudden collapse of confidence and withdrawal of finance, which indicates the probability of another impending crisis. Copyright 1998 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Palma, Gabriel, 1998. "Three and a Half Cycles of 'Mania, Panic, and [Asymmetric] Crash': East Asia and Latin America Compared," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 22(6), pages 789-808, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cambje:v:22:y:1998:i:6:p:789-808
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kohler, Karsten, 2019. "Exchange rate dynamics, balance sheet effects, and capital flows. A Minskyan model of emerging market boom-bust cycles," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 270-283.
    2. Özgür Orhangazi & A. Erinç Yeldan, 2021. "The Re‐making of the Turkish Crisis," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 52(3), pages 460-503, May.
    3. Ocampo, José Antonio, 2001. "Raúl Prebisch and the development agenda at the dawn of the twenty-first century," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    4. Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
    5. Zunaira Aman & Brigitte Granville & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ilayda Nemlioglu, 2024. "Does greater financial openness promote external competitiveness in emerging markets? The role of institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 486-510, January.
    6. Pompeo Della Posta, 2002. "Modelli di crisi valutarie e misure di politica economica," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 55(219), pages 237-262.
    7. Naqvi, Natalya, 2018. "Manias, panics and crashes in emerging markets: an empirical investigation of the post-2008 crisis period," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90368, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Machiko Nissanke & Howard Stein, 2003. "Financial Globalization and Economic Development: Toward an Institutional Foundation," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 287-308, Spring.
    9. Ajit Singh, 2003. "Competition, corporate governance and selection in emerging markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(491), pages 443-464, November.
    10. Hausken, Kjell & Plumper, Thomas, 2002. "Containing Contagious Financial Crises: The Political Economy of Joint Intervention into the Asian Crisis," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 111(3-4), pages 209-236, June.
    11. Anuradha Seth & Amr Ragab, 2012. "Macroeconomic Vulnerability in Developing Countries: Approaches and Issues," Working Papers 94, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    12. Jan Toporowski & Giovanni Cozzi, 2006. "The Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crises in Emerging Markets," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_485, Levy Economics Institute.
    13. Chang, Ha-Joon, 2000. "The Hazard of Moral Hazard: Untangling the Asian Crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 775-788, April.
    14. Palma, J. G., 2012. "How the full opening of the capital account to highly liquid financial markets led Latin America to two and a half cycles of ‘mania, panic and crash’," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1201, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    15. Pablo Bustelo & Clara Garcia & Iliana Olivie, 1999. "Global and Domestic Factors of Financial Crises in Emerging Economies: Lessons from the East Asian Episodes (1997-1999)," Working Papers 002, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales.
    16. Mahfuzul Haque & Oscar Varela, 2010. "US-Thailand Bilateral Safety-first Portfolio Optimisation around the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(2), pages 171-197, August.
    17. Gabriel Palma, 2000. "The Magical Realism of Brazilian Economics: How to Create a Financial Crisis by Trying to Avoid One," SCEPA working paper series. 2000-16, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    18. Bustelo, Pablo, 2000. "Novelties of financial crises in the 1990s and the search for new indicators," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 229-251, November.
    19. Alfredo Saad-Filho, 2007. "Life beyond the Washington Consensus: An Introduction to Pro-poor Macroeconomic Policies," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 513-537.
    20. Nikita Sud & Diego Sánchez‐Ancochea, 2022. "Southern Discomfort: Interrogating the Category of the Global South," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 53(6), pages 1123-1150, November.
    21. Ilene Grabel, 2003. "Predicting Financial Crisis in Developing Economies: Astronomy or Astrology?," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 29(2), pages 243-258, Spring.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:cambje:v:22:y:1998:i:6:p:789-808. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oxford University Press (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://academic.oup.com/cje .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.