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Short-Run Supply Responses in the U.S. Beef-Cattle Industry

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  • David Aadland
  • DeeVon Bailey

Abstract

This article investigates the response of beef-cattle producers to changes in the price of cattle. Previous research has suggested that there may be a negative short-run supply response to a permanent increase in the price of cattle. We build a dynamic, rational expectations model that separates the markets for fed and unfed beef. This separation generates predictions that the supply response is generally positive, even for permanent shocks in the short run, and nests the negative supply response as a special case for appropriately restricted demand shocks. Copyright 2001, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • David Aadland & DeeVon Bailey, 2001. "Short-Run Supply Responses in the U.S. Beef-Cattle Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 83(4), pages 826-839.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:83:y:2001:i:4:p:826-839
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/0002-9092.00212
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Huan Zhao & Xiaodong Du & David Hennessy, 2011. "Pass-through in United States beef cattle prices: a test of Ricardian rent theory," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 497-508, April.
    2. Aadland, David, 2004. "Cattle cycles, heterogeneous expectations and the age distribution of capital," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1977-2002, September.
    3. Rulon D. Pope & Jeffrey T. LaFrance, 2013. "Robust Error Specification in a Production System," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(3), pages 669-684.
    4. Adhikari, Murali & Houston, Jack E. & Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar & Paudel, Laxmi & Devkota, Nirmala & Paudel, Biswo Nath, 2003. "Water Demand Forecasting For Poultry Production: Structural, Time Series, And Deterministic Assessment," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22127, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Sayed H Saghaian & Gokhan Ozertan & Hasan Tekguc, 2013. "Beef and milk price links in Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2607-2616.
    6. Balsevich, Fernando & Schuetz, Paul & Perez, Edwin, 2006. "Cattle Producer' Participation in Market Channels in Central America: Supermarkets, Processors, and Auctions," Staff Paper Series 11482, Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural, Food, and Resource Economics.
    7. Aadland, David, 2002. "Cattle Cycles, Expectations And The Age Distribution Of Capital," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19795, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Lynn Hunnicutt & David Aadland, 2002. "Market Power with Dynamic Invertory Constraints: The Bias in Standard Measures," Working Papers 2002-15, Utah State University, Department of Economics.
    9. Hennessy, David A., 2006. "Feeding and the Equilibrium Feeder Animal Price-Weight Schedule," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-23, August.
    10. Griffith, Garry R. & Coddington, Anna & Murdoch, Scott, 2004. "Beef Feedlot Supply Response in Australia," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 12.
    11. Rezitis, Anthony N. & Stavropoulos, Konstantinos S., 2010. "Modeling beef supply response and price volatility under CAP reforms: The case of Greece," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 163-174, April.
    12. Zhang, Feng & Epperson, James E. & Houston, Jack E., 2006. "Modeling Live Cattle Supply With Different Price Expectations," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35447, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    13. Meilin Ma & Jayson L. Lusk, 2022. "Concentration and Resilience in the US Meat Supply Chains," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Zhao, Huan, 2011. "Four Market Studies for the Beef and Electric Power Industries," ISU General Staff Papers 201101010800001360, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. Hunnicutt Lynn & Aadland David, 2003. "Inventory Constraints in a Dynamic Model of Imperfect Competition: An Application to Beef Packing," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-24, March.
    16. Riley, John Michael & Williams, Brian R., 2013. "Cow-Calf Industry Expansion on the Horizon? Market Signals vs. Outside Factors," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143044, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

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