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Welfare Implications of Commodity Storage under Uncertainty

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  • Peter Helmberger
  • Rob Weaver

Abstract

Intertemporal equilibrium is determined for a competitive market when private inventories are held. Production and storage decisions respond to rational expectations of uncertain prices. Algebraic expressions for gains (losses) to buyers and producers are derived in this context. Competitive equilibrium maximizes gains to society. Government programs that stabilize price either completely or partially generate benefits to producers and losses to buyers relative to competitive equilibrium. Welfare effects are quantified assuming an initial period of abundance and various supply and demand elasticities.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Helmberger & Rob Weaver, 1977. "Welfare Implications of Commodity Storage under Uncertainty," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 59(4), pages 639-651.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:59:y:1977:i:4:p:639-651.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1239391
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Creti, Anna & Villeneuve, Bertrand, 2008. "Equilibrium Storage in a Markov Economy," MPRA Paper 11944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Anna Creti & Bertrand Villeneuve, 2013. "Commodity storage with durable shocks : A simple Markovian model," Post-Print hal-01517436, HAL.
    3. Phil Simmons, 1988. "A Theoretical Discussion Of The Economic Effects Of Buffer Stocks And Buffer Funds," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 32(2-3), pages 129-141, 08-12.
    4. Corinne Chaton & Anna Creti & Bertrand Villeneuve, 2005. "The Economics of Seasonal Gas Storage," Working Papers 2005-52, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    5. Chaton, Corinne & Creti, Anna & Villeneuve, Bertrand, 2008. "Some economics of seasonal gas storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 4235-4246, November.
    6. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Johnson, S. R., 1978. "Rational Expectations in Econometric Models," Economics Statistics and Cooperative Services (ESCS) Reports 329201, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2280 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Rosa, Franco & Vasciaveo, Michela & Weaver, Robert D., 2014. "Agricultural and oil commodities: price transmission and market integration between US and Italy," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, August.
    9. Chen, Dean T. & Bessler, David A., 1988. "Impulse Responses and Intertemporal Pricing of Cotton," Staff Reports 257914, Texas A&M University, Agricultural and Food Policy Center.
    10. Shigeru Akiyama & Masahiro Kawai, 1985. "Welfare implications of commodity price stabilization with partially flexible production, private storage and buffer-stock costs," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 121(2), pages 261-279, June.
    11. Heifner, Richard G. & Plato, Gerald E., 1979. "Wheat Price Bands And Welfare: An Analysis Of Stabilization Alternatives," Risk Management in Agriculture: Behavioral, Managerial, and Policy Issues, January 25-26, 1979, San Francisco, California 271466, Regional Research Projects > W-149: An Economic Evaluation of Managing Market Risks in Agriculture.
    12. Blake, Martin J. & Johnson, Stanley R., 1979. "Inventory And Price Equilibrium Models Applied To The Storage Problem," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 11(1), pages 1-5, July.
    13. Hoffman, Linwood & Glauber, Joseph, 1987. "Effects Of Public Stock.Holding Programs Upon Grain Stock Enhancement," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269981, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    14. Smyth, Donald Craig, 1985. "Economic impacts of the Farmer-Owned Reserve program on the U.S. corn-livestock sector," ISU General Staff Papers 1985010108000013104, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

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