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Spatial Renewable Resource Extraction under Possible Regime Shift

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher Costello
  • Bruno Nkuiya
  • Nicolas Quérou

Abstract

How will countries harvesting mobile natural resources react to the possibility of regime shift? We address the non-cooperative exploitation of a migratory renewable resource in the presence of possible regime shift that affects its movement. Motivated by the anticipated effects of climate change, we model a regime shift that will alter the spatial movement patterns of the resource at some point in the future. We develop a stochastic spatial bioeconomic model to address the effects of this class of regime shift on non-cooperative harvest decisions made by decentralized owners such as countries exploiting a migratory fish or other natural resource stock. We find that the threat of a future shift modifies the standard “golden rule”, and may induce more aggressive harvest everywhere, irrespective of whether the owner will be advantaged or disadvantaged by the shift. We also identify conditions under which the threat of regime shift induces owners to reduce harvest rates in advance of the shift. Our analysis suggests that different property rights structures (single ownership vs common property) or heterogeneous growth can give rise to previously unexplored incentives and can even reverse conventional wisdom about how countries will react to the prospect of future environmental change.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Costello & Bruno Nkuiya & Nicolas Quérou, 2019. "Spatial Renewable Resource Extraction under Possible Regime Shift," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(2), pages 507-527.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:101:y:2019:i:2:p:507-527.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ajae/aay076
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    Cited by:

    1. Giorgio Fabbri & Silvia Faggian & Giuseppe Freni, 2022. "On competition for spatially distributed resources in networks: an extended version," Working Papers 2022:03, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    2. Neha Deopa & Daniele Rinaldo, 2024. "Quickest Detection of Ecological Regimes for Natural Resource Management," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(5), pages 1327-1366, May.
    3. Can Askan Mavi & Nicolas Quérou, 2020. "Common pool resource management and risk perceptions," DEM Discussion Paper Series 20-25, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
    4. Can Askan Mavi & Nicolas Quérou, 2020. "Common pool resource management and risk perceptions," CEE-M Working Papers hal-03052114, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    5. Kelsall, Claudia & Quaas, Martin F. & Quérou, Nicolas, 2023. "Risk aversion in renewable resource harvesting," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    6. Fabbri, Giorgio & Faggian, Silvia & Freni, Giuseppe, 2024. "On competition for spatially distributed resources in networks," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 19(2), May.
    7. Bediako, Kwabena & Nkuiya, Bruno, 2022. "Stability of international fisheries agreements under stock growth uncertainty," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    8. Fabbri, Giorgio & Faggian, Silvia & Freni, Giuseppe, 2020. "Policy effectiveness in spatial resource wars: A two-region model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    9. Tiho Ancev & Karunagaran Madhavan, 2023. "Size matters: Optimal management of dynamic systems with varying size," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 67(1), pages 137-153, January.
    10. repec:ags:aaea22:335483 is not listed on IDEAS

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